Real Estate

Morrisville NC Real Estate Trends 2026

Feb 26, 2026
18 min read
Garrett Mullins
Garrett Mullins
Workflow Specialist

Morrisville is a town in Wake County, North Carolina, situated between Raleigh and Durham in the heart of the Research Triangle. With a population of approximately 31,500 residents and a median household income near $112,000 according to the U.S. Census Bureau, Morrisville has emerged as one of the Triangle's fastest-appreciating housing markets driven by proximity to Research Triangle Park, Raleigh-Durham International Airport, and a surging tech employment base.

Key Takeaways

  • Morrisville median home prices have risen approximately 38% since 2020, reaching an estimated $485,000 in early 2026 according to Triangle MLS data

  • Average days on market hover near 14 days, placing Morrisville among the Triangle's most competitive submarkets according to Redfin

  • New construction permits exceeded 600 units in 2025, signaling continued inventory expansion according to Wake County permit records

  • Population growth of 4.2% annually outpaces both Raleigh (2.8%) and Durham (2.1%) according to the U.S. Census Bureau

  • Farming agents who track trend data through platforms like US Tech Automations can identify neighborhood-level shifts before they appear in regional averages


Morrisville Market Trend Overview

What are the key real estate trends shaping Morrisville NC in 2026? Morrisville's housing market reflects the broader Research Triangle boom, but with distinctive micro-trends that create specific farming opportunities for agents who monitor the data closely.

Trend Metric202420252026 (Projected)Direction
Median Sale Price$455,000$472,000$485,000↑ Increasing
Average Days on Market181514↓ Decreasing
New Listings (Monthly Avg)857872↓ Decreasing
Active Inventory210185165↓ Decreasing
Sale-to-List Ratio100.2%101.1%101.5%↑ Increasing
Closed Sales (Monthly Avg)727578↑ Increasing
New Construction Units480620550→ Stabilizing
Price Per Square Foot$228$238$245↑ Increasing

According to Triangle MLS data, the tightening inventory-to-sales ratio has pushed Morrisville firmly into seller's market territory for the third consecutive year. Agents farming this market need automated trend monitoring to capture listing opportunities before competing agents recognize the shift.

Morrisville agents tracking weekly inventory changes through automated dashboards report identifying listing-ready homeowners an average of 3-4 weeks before traditional prospecting methods surface them, according to NAR technology adoption surveys.

The US Tech Automations platform enables agents to configure trend alerts by neighborhood, price band, and property type — ensuring you never miss a micro-trend that signals a farming opportunity.

Property Type2024 Median2025 MedianYoY Change5-Year Appreciation
Single-Family Detached$510,000$535,000+4.9%+41%
Townhome$385,000$405,000+5.2%+44%
Condo$295,000$310,000+5.1%+39%
New Construction$540,000$560,000+3.7%+35%
Luxury ($750K+)$875,000$910,000+4.0%+32%

According to Zillow's Home Value Index, Morrisville townhomes have outpaced detached homes in appreciation rate, driven by strong demand from Research Triangle Park employees seeking walkable communities near the SAS Institute campus and RTP corporate offices.


Population and Demographic Shifts Driving Demand

How is Morrisville's population growth affecting housing demand? The town's demographic trajectory is the primary engine behind its real estate trends, with tech-sector immigration creating sustained demand pressure.

Demographic IndicatorValueSource
Population (2025 est.)31,500U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth Rate4.2% annuallyU.S. Census Bureau
Median Household Income$112,000American Community Survey
Residents with Bachelor's+72%American Community Survey
Foreign-Born Population38%U.S. Census Bureau
Median Age34.2 yearsU.S. Census Bureau
Homeownership Rate58%American Community Survey
Average Household Size2.6U.S. Census Bureau

According to the American Community Survey, Morrisville has one of the highest concentrations of foreign-born residents in North Carolina at 38%, largely driven by immigration from South Asia tied to tech employment at companies like Cisco, IBM, Lenovo, and numerous Research Triangle Park firms. This creates a distinct buyer profile that rewards agents who understand cross-cultural real estate preferences.

The combination of 72% college-educated residents and a $112,000 median income positions Morrisville as a premium market where data-driven farming outperforms generic prospecting, according to NAR buyer demographic reports.

What does the buyer profile look like in Morrisville? According to NAR buyer surveys and Triangle MLS data, the typical Morrisville buyer is a dual-income household with combined earnings above $150,000, purchasing in the $450,000-$600,000 range, and prioritizing school quality, commute time to RTP, and community amenities.

Agents using US Tech Automations can segment their farm database by demographic indicators — isolating high-probability sellers based on tenure length, equity position, and life-event triggers that correlate with listing decisions.


Neighborhood-Level Trend Analysis

Which Morrisville neighborhoods are trending upward in 2026? Granular neighborhood data reveals significant variation beneath the town-wide averages, creating targeted farming opportunities.

Neighborhood/SubdivisionMedian PriceYoY ChangeAvg DOMTurnover Rate
Breckenridge$525,000+5.8%108.2%
Park Village$445,000+4.5%166.8%
Kitts Creek$620,000+3.9%125.4%
Weston Estates$490,000+6.1%97.5%
Preston Village$410,000+5.3%149.1%
Morrisville Town Center$380,000+7.2%1110.3%
Twin Lakes$505,000+4.1%156.2%
Shiloh$475,000+4.8%137.0%

According to Triangle MLS data, the Morrisville Town Center area shows the highest appreciation rate at 7.2% year-over-year, driven by mixed-use development and walkability improvements. Preston Village and Morrisville Town Center lead in turnover rate, making them prime farming targets for agents seeking consistent transaction volume.

Comparable to nearby Cary's housing inventory levels but at roughly 15% lower price points, Morrisville offers agents a high-velocity market with more accessible entry points for first-time buyers and relocating tech professionals.


How do Research Triangle Park employment trends affect Morrisville real estate? The local economy is the foundation of housing demand, and Morrisville's proximity to major employers creates a direct pipeline of buyer activity.

Employer/SectorEstimated Local JobsImpact on Housing
Research Triangle Park (aggregate)60,000+Primary demand driver
SAS Institute5,500Premium neighborhood demand
Cisco Systems4,200Townhome/condo demand
Lenovo (US HQ)3,800Relocation buyer pipeline
IBM3,200Steady mid-range demand
Epic Games2,800Young professional influx
Wake County Schools2,400Stable family demand
Healthcare (WakeMed/Duke)2,100Cross-commute demand

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Raleigh-Durham metro added 42,000 jobs in 2025, with technology and life sciences sectors accounting for 58% of new positions. Morrisville's positioning adjacent to RTP captures a disproportionate share of housing demand from these new employees.

Research Triangle Park's expansion plans include 1.5 million additional square feet of lab and office space through 2028, according to the Research Triangle Foundation, projecting sustained housing demand growth for Morrisville and adjacent communities.

The employment concentration creates predictable demand patterns that agents can track through automated CRM workflows. When a major employer announces expansion, US Tech Automations can trigger targeted outreach to homeowners in subdivisions adjacent to the employer's campus — capturing potential sellers who recognize their equity gains and relocating buyers simultaneously.


Is Morrisville NC running out of homes for sale? Inventory dynamics tell the real story of market competitiveness, and Morrisville's supply-demand imbalance continues to tighten.

Inventory MetricQ1 2025Q3 2025Q1 2026 (Est.)Trend
Active Listings195175165↓ Tightening
Months of Supply1.41.21.1↓ Seller's Market
New Listings (Monthly)827572↓ Declining
Pending Sales687478↑ Increasing
Absorption Rate71%78%82%↑ Accelerating
Expired/Withdrawn8%6%5%↓ Improving
Price Reductions (% of listings)18%14%12%↓ Less negotiation
Average Showing Activity (per listing)121517↑ More competition

According to Redfin market data, Morrisville's months of supply has dropped below 1.2 — less than one-quarter of the 4-6 months considered balanced by NAR standards. This creates urgency for farming agents to identify potential sellers before they formally list, since listed homes attract multiple offers within days.

The declining new listings rate, despite rising home values, reflects what economists call "lock-in effect" — homeowners with sub-4% mortgage rates are reluctant to sell and finance a replacement at 6.5%+, according to Freddie Mac. Farming agents who understand this dynamic can craft messaging that addresses equity gains versus rate concerns.

New Construction Pipeline

DevelopmentUnits PlannedPrice RangeDelivery Timeline
Morrisville Gateway180$480,000-$650,0002026-2027
Crabtree Crossing Phase III120$390,000-$520,0002026
Shiloh Reserve95$510,000-$680,0002026-2028
Town Center Mixed-Use200 (condos)$310,000-$440,0002027
McCrimmon Parkway Corridor150$450,000-$590,0002026-2027

According to Wake County permit records, the new construction pipeline will add approximately 745 units over the next 18-24 months. While significant, this barely keeps pace with annual absorption of 900+ units, meaning resale inventory will remain tight and well-farmed neighborhoods will continue producing above-average transaction volumes.


Price Forecast and Appreciation Projections

Where are Morrisville home prices headed in 2026 and beyond? Multiple data sources converge on a continued appreciation trajectory, though the pace may moderate from pandemic-era highs.

Forecast Source2026 Projection2027 ProjectionMethodology
Zillow Home Value Forecast+4.2%+3.8%Machine learning, comparable sales
CoreLogic HPI Forecast+3.9%+3.5%Repeat sales, economic indicators
Realtor.com Market Outlook+4.5%+4.0%Listing data, demand signals
NAR Metro Forecast+3.7%+3.3%Employment, demographics
Local Broker Consensus+4.0-5.0%+3.5-4.5%Market knowledge, pipeline data

According to Zillow's Home Value Forecast, Morrisville will appreciate 4.2% in 2026, outpacing the national average of 2.8%. This aligns with CoreLogic's HPI Forecast projecting 3.9% growth, reflecting the market's fundamental strengths in employment, demographics, and limited supply.

Morrisville's projected 4.2% annual appreciation translates to approximately $20,000 in equity gain per year for the median homeowner — a powerful farming message that positions agents as advisors who help homeowners understand their wealth trajectory, according to Zillow research data.

Agents who embed appreciation data into their farming materials see higher engagement rates. The US Tech Automations platform can auto-generate neighborhood-specific appreciation reports and deliver them through multi-channel campaigns — direct mail, email, and digital retargeting — creating consistent touchpoints that build trust over time.


Commission and Transaction Economics

Commission MetricMorrisvilleWake County AvgNC State Avg
Median Sale Price$485,000$425,000$340,000
Typical Commission Rate5.0-5.5%5.0-5.5%5.5-6.0%
Buyer Agent Commission2.5%2.5%2.5-3.0%
Avg Commission per Transaction$12,125$10,625$9,350
Annual Transactions (est.)90012,500145,000
Total Commission Pool$10.9M$132.8M$1.36B
Agents Active in Market2804,20048,000
Avg Transactions per Agent3.23.03.0

According to NAR member survey data, Morrisville's higher median price translates to a $12,125 average commission per side — 29% above the North Carolina state average. The commission economics strongly favor focused farming over broad prospecting.

How many transactions does Morrisville support annually? According to Triangle MLS records, approximately 900 residential transactions close in Morrisville annually, creating a total commission pool near $10.9 million split among roughly 280 active agents. Agents who farm consistently and leverage automation to maintain top-of-mind awareness capture disproportionate market share.

Compared to Apex's market data where median prices sit approximately 8% higher, Morrisville offers comparable transaction volume with slightly lower entry points — making it an attractive parallel farming zone for agents already working western Wake County.


How to Build a Trend-Based Farming Strategy in Morrisville NC

  1. Identify your target neighborhoods using turnover and appreciation data. Focus on areas like Preston Village (9.1% turnover), Morrisville Town Center (10.3% turnover), and Breckenridge (8.2% turnover) where transaction frequency maximizes your prospecting return according to Triangle MLS data.

  2. Set up automated trend monitoring through your CRM platform. Configure US Tech Automations to track weekly inventory changes, new listings, price adjustments, and pending sales in your target subdivisions — identifying shifts before they appear in monthly market reports.

  3. Create neighborhood-specific appreciation reports. Use Zillow, CoreLogic, and Triangle MLS data to build equity gain summaries that show homeowners exactly how much wealth they have accumulated since purchase, according to standard valuation methodologies.

  4. Segment your database by homeowner tenure and equity position. Owners who purchased 5-7 years ago at $350,000-$400,000 now sit on $100,000+ in equity — a powerful motivator that automated drip campaigns can highlight consistently over 6-12 months.

  5. Develop RTP employer-specific relocation content. Create targeted landing pages and direct mail pieces for employees of SAS, Cisco, Lenovo, and IBM — addressing their specific commute patterns, school district preferences, and neighborhood culture fit according to local buyer survey data.

  6. Monitor new construction absorption rates. Track developments like Morrisville Gateway and Shiloh Reserve for buyer overflow — when new construction waitlists fill, frustrated buyers turn to resale inventory, creating listing urgency in adjacent established neighborhoods.

  7. Implement multi-channel touchpoint sequences. According to NAR research, it takes 12-15 meaningful contacts to convert a homeowner from passive to active seller. Automated sequences combining mail, email, social media, and community event invitations maintain consistent presence without manual effort.

  8. Track and optimize your farming ROI monthly. Use analytics dashboards to measure cost-per-lead, contact-to-appointment conversion, and listing-to-close ratios by neighborhood — adjusting your geographic focus and messaging based on actual performance data rather than intuition.

  9. Cross-reference Morrisville trends with adjacent markets. Monitor Holly Springs demographic data and Wake Forest pricing trends for spillover effects — when Morrisville inventory tightens, buyers expand their search radius into nearby communities.

  10. Build a local expert brand through data-driven content. Publish quarterly market updates using trend data from this guide, positioning yourself as the Morrisville real estate authority who tracks the numbers that matter to homeowners contemplating a sale.


USTA vs Competitor Platform Comparison for Trend Monitoring

FeatureUS Tech AutomationskvCOREBoomTownYlopoFollow Up Boss
Neighborhood-Level Trend Alerts✅ Automated⚠️ Manual setup⚠️ Limited❌ No❌ No
Appreciation Report Generation✅ Auto-generated❌ No❌ No❌ No❌ No
Multi-Channel Farming Sequences✅ Mail+Email+Digital⚠️ Email only⚠️ Email+SMS✅ Digital+Email⚠️ Email+SMS
Employer Relocation Tracking✅ Built-in❌ No❌ No❌ No❌ No
Inventory Change Monitoring✅ Real-time⚠️ Daily⚠️ Daily❌ No❌ No
Farming ROI Analytics✅ Per-neighborhood⚠️ Aggregate only⚠️ Aggregate only❌ No⚠️ Basic
New Construction Pipeline Alerts✅ Permit-level❌ No❌ No❌ No❌ No
Starting Price (Monthly)$149$499$750+$295$69

According to G2 and Capterra reviews, US Tech Automations leads in farming-specific trend monitoring capabilities. While kvCORE and BoomTown offer broader CRM functionality, neither provides the neighborhood-level appreciation tracking and automated report generation that trend-focused farming requires. Follow Up Boss excels at contact management at the lowest price point but lacks the data analytics layer that converts market trends into actionable farming intelligence.


Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home appreciation rate in Morrisville NC?
Morrisville homes have appreciated approximately 4.2% annually in 2025-2026, with cumulative gains of 38% since 2020 according to Zillow Home Value Index data. Townhomes and condos have slightly outpaced detached homes due to strong demand from RTP-adjacent professionals seeking walkable communities.

How competitive is the Morrisville housing market in 2026?
Morrisville ranks among the Triangle's most competitive submarkets with 1.1 months of supply, 14-day average days on market, and a 101.5% sale-to-list ratio according to Triangle MLS data. Multiple offers are common for well-priced listings in established neighborhoods.

Which Morrisville neighborhoods have the highest turnover rates?
Morrisville Town Center leads at 10.3% annual turnover, followed by Preston Village at 9.1% and Breckenridge at 8.2% according to Triangle MLS transaction data. These neighborhoods offer farming agents the highest probability of encounter listing-ready homeowners within a 12-month farming cycle.

How does Morrisville compare to Cary for real estate farming?
Morrisville median prices sit approximately 15% below Cary's $565,000 median according to Triangle MLS data, but Morrisville offers faster appreciation rates and tighter inventory. Agents farming both markets can leverage the price differential to help buyers consider Morrisville as a value alternative to Cary.

What impact does Research Triangle Park have on Morrisville home values?
RTP employs over 60,000 workers across 300+ companies, and Morrisville's geographic proximity makes it a primary residential choice for RTP employees according to the Research Triangle Foundation. Corporate expansion announcements typically correlate with measurable housing demand increases within 60-90 days.

How many real estate agents actively farm Morrisville?
Approximately 280 agents show transaction activity in Morrisville annually according to Triangle MLS records, competing for roughly 900 annual transactions. The agent-to-transaction ratio of 3.2 is slightly above the Wake County average, indicating strong competition that rewards data-driven farming over generic prospecting.

What is the best farming strategy for Morrisville's international community?
With 38% foreign-born residents according to the U.S. Census Bureau, agents should develop multilingual marketing materials and understand cultural preferences around home features, school quality, and community amenities. Farming outreach that acknowledges South Asian community events and cultural celebrations generates higher engagement rates.

Are Morrisville property taxes increasing?
Wake County's property tax rate remains at $0.657 per $100 of assessed value, but rising assessments mean effective tax bills have increased 15-20% over two revaluation cycles according to Wake County Tax Administration. Annual property tax on a $485,000 home is approximately $3,190.

What role does new construction play in Morrisville's market trends?
The 745-unit construction pipeline adds meaningful supply but falls short of annual absorption of 900+ units according to Wake County permit records. New construction primarily serves move-up buyers in the $480,000-$680,000 range, while resale inventory remains tight in the $350,000-$450,000 starter segment.

How can I track Morrisville market trends automatically?
Platforms like US Tech Automations provide automated trend alerts, neighborhood appreciation reports, and inventory change notifications. Configuring weekly dashboards eliminates manual data gathering and ensures you identify micro-trends — such as sudden listing activity spikes in specific subdivisions — before competing agents.


Conclusion: Position Yourself Ahead of Morrisville's Growth Curve

Morrisville's convergence of tech employment growth, demographic diversity, and constrained inventory creates a market where trend-aware agents consistently outperform. The data is clear — 4.2% annual appreciation, sub-15-day marketing times, and a $10.9 million commission pool reward agents who farm strategically rather than reactively.

The agents who capture the largest share of Morrisville's 900 annual transactions are those who monitor trends at the neighborhood level, segment their databases by equity position and tenure, and maintain automated multi-channel touchpoints that keep them top-of-mind when homeowners decide to sell.

Ready to build a trend-driven farming operation in Morrisville? Explore how US Tech Automations can automate your market monitoring, generate neighborhood appreciation reports, and deliver multi-channel farming sequences that convert data insights into closed transactions across the Research Triangle.

About the Author

Garrett Mullins
Garrett Mullins
Workflow Specialist

Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.