Cedar Hill TX Real Estate Trends Data 2026
Key Takeaways:
Cedar Hill's median home price of $315,000 has appreciated 4.2% year-over-year, outpacing the southern DFW corridor average
Joe Pool Lake and Cedar Hill State Park create a nature-oriented lifestyle premium that distinguishes Cedar Hill from surrounding suburbs
Inventory at 2.6 months of supply balances between seller and buyer interests, with the $275,000–$375,000 segment absorbing fastest
Cedar Hill ISD serves the city with B+ ratings, with specific campuses earning A designations that drive neighborhood-level price premiums
US Tech Automations trend analytics help Cedar Hill agents identify price momentum shifts by leveraging the city's unique nature-premium dynamics
Cedar Hill Market Trend Overview
Cedar Hill is a city in Dallas and Ellis counties in Texas, located approximately 20 miles southwest of downtown Dallas in the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan area. The city's distinguishing feature is its proximity to Cedar Hill State Park, Joe Pool Lake, and the Cedar Mountain Preserve — creating a nature-oriented suburban character unique among DFW cities of comparable size, according to the Dallas County Planning Department.
What are the current real estate trends in Cedar Hill TX? According to North Texas Real Estate Information Systems (NTREIS) data, Cedar Hill's market in 2026 shows steady appreciation, balanced inventory, and growing demand from buyers seeking outdoor lifestyle access at accessible price points. The market sits at 2.6 months of supply with consistent absorption.
| Market Indicator | Current (2026) | Year Ago | 2-Year Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $315,000 | $302,000 | +8.5% |
| Average Sale Price | $338,000 | $325,000 | +8.0% |
| Price per Square Foot | $158 | $152 | +7.5% |
| Months of Supply | 2.6 | 3.0 | Tightening |
| Avg. Days on Market | 28 | 34 | -17.6% |
| List-to-Sale Ratio | 97.5% | 96.8% | +0.7 pts |
| Active Listings | 310 | 360 | -13.9% |
| Closed Sales (Annual) | 1,620+ | 1,540 | +5.2% |
According to NTREIS trend analysis, Cedar Hill's convergence of declining inventory (-13.9%) and rising transaction volume (+5.2%) signals strengthening demand. The tightening from 3.0 to 2.6 months of supply has shifted the market from balanced toward seller-favorable territory.
Cedar Hill's price-per-square-foot of $158 represents the strongest value proposition in the Joe Pool Lake corridor, according to NTREIS data — 20% below the DFW metro average while offering state park access and nature preserve amenities unavailable in higher-priced suburbs.
Price Trends by Neighborhood
| Neighborhood | Median Price | YoY Change | DOM | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Pointe (Lake-adjacent) | $395,000 | +5.2% | 24 | Strong demand |
| Waterford Oaks | $365,000 | +4.8% | 26 | Steady growth |
| Lake Ridge (CH portion) | $345,000 | +3.8% | 28 | Stable |
| Hillside Village | $310,000 | +4.5% | 26 | Emerging |
| Central Cedar Hill | $285,000 | +4.2% | 24 | Strong absorption |
| South Cedar Hill | $275,000 | +5.8% | 20 | Fastest growth |
| Pleasant Run area | $295,000 | +3.5% | 30 | Moderate |
Which Cedar Hill neighborhoods are trending strongest? According to NTREIS trend data, South Cedar Hill shows the fastest appreciation at 5.8% — driven by remaining new construction capacity and first-time buyer demand at the city's most accessible price points. High Pointe's lake-adjacent premium continues to command the highest absolute prices.
According to neighborhood-level analysis, the price-appreciation inversion (cheaper neighborhoods appreciating faster than expensive ones) is a common pattern in maturing suburban markets, indicating that Cedar Hill's affordable segments are catching up to regional values.
Quarterly Price and Volume Trends
| Quarter | Median Price | DOM | Active Listings | Transactions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $305,000 | 36 | 360 | 340 |
| Q2 2025 | $318,000 | 24 | 315 | 450 |
| Q3 2025 | $312,000 | 28 | 330 | 420 |
| Q4 2025 | $308,000 | 32 | 300 | 380 |
| Q1 2026 (Est.) | $315,000 | 28 | 310 | 350 |
According to seasonal pattern data, Cedar Hill's Q2 peak generates 32% more transactions than Q1. The Q1 2026 data shows inventory below Q1 2025 levels while transaction volume improves, signaling a stronger spring market ahead.
The US Tech Automations platform provides real-time quarterly trend dashboards that enable agents to spot these momentum shifts and time their farming campaigns for maximum listing opportunity capture.
Nature Premium: Joe Pool Lake and State Park Impact
Cedar Hill's defining market differentiator is its nature-oriented lifestyle premium.
| Nature Asset | Proximity | Price Premium | Primary Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Hill State Park | Within city limits | +8-12% (adjacent) | Hiking, biking, camping |
| Joe Pool Lake | Western border | +15-25% (view/access) | Water recreation |
| Cedar Mountain Preserve | Central | +5-8% (adjacent) | Mountain biking, nature |
| Dogwood Canyon Audubon | Within city | +3-5% (nearby) | Birdwatching, wildlife |
How do Cedar Hill's natural amenities affect home prices? According to appraisal data and comparative sales analysis, Joe Pool Lake-adjacent properties command 15-25% premiums, while homes near Cedar Hill State Park see 8-12% lifts. The city's combined nature assets create a cumulative lifestyle premium not available in comparable-price DFW suburbs.
According to buyer survey data, 42% of Cedar Hill purchasers cite outdoor recreation access as a primary or secondary purchase motivation — significantly above the DFW metro average of 18%, according to NAR regional buyer surveys.
Cedar Hill is the only DFW suburb with a state park within city limits, according to Texas Parks and Wildlife data — a unique amenity that creates a lifestyle brand no competing suburb can replicate.
Buyer Demand Trends
| Buyer Characteristic | 2024 | 2025 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nature/Outdoor Motivated | 38% | 42% | Rising |
| First-Time Buyers | 28% | 30% | Rising |
| Out-of-State Buyers | 14% | 16% | Rising |
| Cash Purchases | 12% | 15% | Rising |
| Average Buyer Age | 36.8 | 36.2 | Declining |
| Avg. Offers per Listing | 2.2 | 2.6 | Rising |
Who is buying homes in Cedar Hill? According to NTREIS buyer data, Cedar Hill is attracting younger buyers (average age declining to 36.2) and more out-of-state relocators (16%). The rising nature-motivated buyer share (42%) reflects Cedar Hill's strengthening lifestyle brand within DFW.
According to demographic trend analysis, the combination of declining buyer age and rising outdoor motivation suggests Cedar Hill is capturing a growing segment of millennial buyers who prioritize nature access over urban amenities — a trend accelerated by remote work flexibility.
Inventory and Supply Analysis
| Inventory Metric | Cedar Hill | Southern DFW Avg. | DFW Metro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active Listings | 310 | 450 | 42,000+ |
| Months of Supply | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| New Listings (Monthly) | 145 | — | — |
| Absorption Rate | 82.4% | 76.8% | 76.2% |
| Pending-to-Active Ratio | 0.95 | 0.84 | 0.82 |
According to NTREIS data, Cedar Hill's 82.4% absorption rate exceeds the southern DFW corridor average, indicating stronger relative demand. The pending-to-active ratio approaching 1.0 suggests the market is on the edge of shifting firmly into seller's territory.
Track the nature-premium gradient for listing pricing. Distance to Joe Pool Lake, Cedar Hill State Park, and the preserves directly impacts values — quantify this in CMAs.
Monitor outdoor recreation trend data as a demand proxy. Rising State Park attendance and trail usage correlate with housing demand, according to historical pattern data.
Compare Cedar Hill DOM trends against DeSoto and Duncanville monthly. Cedar Hill's nature premium should manifest as faster absorption; if the gap narrows, the premium may be softening.
Analyze seasonal patterns specific to nature-oriented buyers. Spring and early fall see the strongest nature-motivated purchases as trail and lake seasons begin.
Set up US Tech Automations automated trend alerts for your farm zone. The platform tracks DOM, price changes, and absorption rates in real time.
Create outdoor lifestyle content for social media farming. Trail maps, lake activity guides, and State Park event calendars generate high engagement.
Track new development activity in the Joe Pool Lake corridor. Limited remaining lakefront developable land constrains future premium inventory.
Monitor the DeSoto-to-Cedar Hill upgrade pipeline. DeSoto households earning $75,000+ frequently target Cedar Hill for school quality and nature access.
Build relationships with trail running, cycling, and outdoor recreation groups. These communities are Cedar Hill's natural referral networks for nature-motivated buyers.
Commission and Agent Economics
| Metric | Cedar Hill TX | Dallas County | DFW Metro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $315,000 | $385,000 | $395,000 |
| Average Commission Rate | 5.2% | 5.15% | 5.1% |
| Agent-Side Commission | 2.6% | 2.58% | 2.55% |
| Commission per Transaction | $8,190 | $9,933 | $10,073 |
| Annual Transactions | 1,620+ | — | — |
| Licensed Agents (Area) | 580 | — | — |
What commission can agents earn farming Cedar Hill? According to MLS data, Cedar Hill's $8,190 median commission falls below the Dallas County average due to lower price points, but strong transaction volume compensates.
| Farming Level | Monthly Cost | Est. Deals | Annual GCI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starter (500 homes) | $800 | 4–6 | $32,760–$49,140 |
| Growth (1,200 homes) | $1,600 | 9–13 | $73,710–$106,470 |
| Dominant (2,500 homes) | $2,800 | 16–22 | $131,040–$180,180 |
Property Tax and Cost Analysis
| Taxing Entity | Rate per $100 | Annual Tax on $315,000 Home |
|---|---|---|
| City of Cedar Hill | $0.7200 | $2,268 |
| Dallas County | $0.2390 | $753 |
| Cedar Hill ISD | $1.2300 | $3,875 |
| Dallas County College | $0.1240 | $391 |
| Parkland Hospital | $0.2375 | $748 |
| Total Effective Rate | $2.5505 | $8,034 |
According to the Dallas County Tax Assessor, Cedar Hill's effective rate of $2.55 per $100 is on the higher end for the southern DFW corridor. The $8,034 annual tax on a median home adds $670 per month to housing costs.
How do Cedar Hill property taxes compare?
| City | Effective Tax Rate | Tax on $315K Home | Nature Amenities |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedar Hill | $2.55 | $8,034 | State Park, Lake, Preserves |
| DeSoto | $2.62 | $8,253 | Limited parks |
| Duncanville | $2.58 | $8,127 | City parks only |
| Midlothian | $2.48 | $7,812 | Rural character |
| Grand Prairie | $2.35 | $7,403 | Joe Pool Lake access |
Despite Cedar Hill's higher tax rate compared to Grand Prairie, the city's state park, mountain preserve, and lake access create lifestyle amenities that justify the $631 annual tax premium, according to buyer value analysis — nature-motivated buyers consistently cite these amenities as worth the additional cost.
Cedar Hill Housing Stock and Renovation Trends
| Housing Type | Units | Percentage | Avg. Year Built |
|---|---|---|---|
| Single-Family Detached | 14,200 | 71.8% | 1998 |
| Apartments/Multi-Family | 3,600 | 18.2% | 2005 |
| Townhomes/Attached | 1,200 | 6.1% | 2008 |
| Other | 800 | 3.9% | Various |
According to Dallas County Appraisal District records, Cedar Hill's housing stock averages 1998 construction — notably newer than DeSoto (1992) and Duncanville (1985). This relatively modern stock reduces renovation dependency while still offering value-add opportunities in the oldest neighborhoods near downtown.
What is Cedar Hill's new construction outlook? According to building permit data, Cedar Hill issues approximately 180 new single-family permits annually, concentrated in the southern growth corridor near FM 1382. This modest but consistent construction rate adds inventory without overwhelming the resale market, maintaining balanced supply conditions.
| Construction Era | Units | Share | Price Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-1990 | 3,800 | 19.2% | $225,000–$295,000 |
| 1990–2005 | 6,200 | 31.3% | $285,000–$365,000 |
| 2006–2015 | 4,800 | 24.2% | $325,000–$420,000 |
| 2016–Present | 5,000 | 25.3% | $365,000–$495,000 |
According to appraisal data, 50.5% of Cedar Hill's housing was built before 2005, creating a balanced mix of established and newer inventory that supports both renovation-focused and move-in-ready buyer strategies.
Cedar Hill vs. Best Southwest Competition
| Metric | Cedar Hill | DeSoto | Duncanville | Lancaster |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Price | $315,000 | $285,000 | $275,000 | $245,000 |
| YoY Appreciation | +4.2% | +4.0% | +3.5% | +5.2% |
| DOM | 28 | 20 | 26 | 22 |
| School Rating | B+ | B+ | B | B- |
| Nature Amenities | State Park, Lake | Parks | Parks | Lake access |
According to comparative market data, Cedar Hill commands a $30,000-$70,000 premium over Best Southwest neighbors, justified by its unique nature amenities and stronger school ratings. This premium has been stable over the past five years, indicating sustainable market differentiation, according to trend analysis.
USTA Platform Comparison for Cedar Hill Farming
| Feature | US Tech Automations | kvCORE | BoomTown | Ylopo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nature Premium Analytics | Distance-based tiers | No | No | No |
| Outdoor Lifestyle Content | Pre-built templates | No | No | No |
| Seasonal Demand Tracking | Activity-correlated | No | No | No |
| ISD Campus-Level Data | Automated integration | Manual | No | No |
| Community Event Calendar | Trail/park events | No | No | No |
| Monthly Cost | $149–$399 | $499+ | $750+ | $395+ |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Cedar Hill TX in 2026?
According to NTREIS data, Cedar Hill's median home price is approximately $315,000, with Joe Pool Lake-adjacent properties averaging $395,000 and central neighborhoods averaging $285,000.
How fast are Cedar Hill home prices appreciating?
According to NTREIS data, Cedar Hill prices are appreciating at 4.2% annually, with the most affordable South Cedar Hill segment growing fastest at 5.8% year-over-year.
Does Cedar Hill State Park affect home values?
According to comparative sales analysis, properties adjacent to Cedar Hill State Park command 8-12% premiums, while Joe Pool Lake-adjacent homes see 15-25% premiums over comparable inland properties.
Is Cedar Hill a buyer's or seller's market?
According to NTREIS data, Cedar Hill's 2.6 months of supply positions it at the boundary between balanced and seller's market, with the $275,000-$375,000 core segment functioning as a seller's market with 82.4% absorption.
What school district covers Cedar Hill?
According to TEA data, Cedar Hill ISD covers the city with a B+ overall rating, with specific campuses earning A designations that drive neighborhood-level price premiums of 5-8%.
How does Cedar Hill compare to DeSoto and Duncanville?
According to comparative data, Cedar Hill offers superior nature amenities (state park, lake, preserves) at comparable prices, with stronger appreciation trends driven by the outdoor lifestyle premium.
How many homes sell in Cedar Hill annually?
According to MLS data, Cedar Hill averages approximately 1,620 residential transactions per year, with the spring months of April-June generating 32% above-average volume.
What outdoor amenities does Cedar Hill offer?
According to Texas Parks and Wildlife data, Cedar Hill is the only DFW suburb with a state park within city limits, plus Joe Pool Lake access, Cedar Mountain Preserve mountain biking trails, and Dogwood Canyon Audubon Center.
Are out-of-state buyers moving to Cedar Hill?
According to migration data, out-of-state buyers represent 16% of Cedar Hill purchases, drawn by the combination of outdoor lifestyle, DFW affordability, and nature-oriented community character.
How can agents leverage Cedar Hill's nature premium?
US Tech Automations provides nature-premium analytics, outdoor lifestyle content templates, and seasonal demand tracking that help agents quantify and market Cedar Hill's unique position as DFW's premier outdoor-lifestyle suburb.
Cedar Hill Commission and Agent Economics
| Metric | Cedar Hill | Best Southwest Avg. | DFW Metro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Commission per Transaction | $8,190 | $7,850 | $10,073 |
| Licensed Agents (Area) | 580 | — | — |
| Agents Closing 6+/Year | 128 (22%) | 22% | 25% |
| FSBO Rate | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Expired Listings/Year | 165 | — | — |
According to TREC data, Cedar Hill's 580 licensed agents represent moderate competition, with 78% closing fewer than 6 deals annually. The 7.5% FSBO rate (122 annual attempts) and 165 expired listings create 287 prospecting opportunities for agents who systematically pursue these leads. Committed farming agents who target nature-motivated buyer segments and outdoor lifestyle marketing can realistically achieve top-quartile performance within 18 months, according to local agent performance benchmarks.
Conclusion: Capitalizing on Cedar Hill's Nature Premium
Cedar Hill's real estate trends tell a compelling story: a nature-oriented suburb that's being discovered by younger, outdoor-motivated buyers who are reshaping the city's demographic profile. The 4.2% appreciation rate, tightening inventory, and rising demand from nature-focused buyers create a market trajectory that rewards agents who can articulate the lifestyle value proposition.
The strategic advantage in Cedar Hill farming is the nature premium — knowing how to quantify the value of State Park adjacency, lake access, and trail proximity in listing presentations and buyer consultations. This expertise distinguishes you from agents who can only cite comparable sales data.
US Tech Automations provides the nature-premium analytics, lifestyle marketing content, and seasonal trend tracking that enable Cedar Hill agents to convert the city's unique outdoor amenities into listing appointments and closed deals. Start leveraging Cedar Hill's nature premium today.
About the Author
Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.
