Keller TX Housing Inventory & Growth Data 2026
Keller is a city in Tarrant County, Texas, located approximately 20 miles north of Fort Worth and 30 miles west of Dallas within the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington metropolitan statistical area. With a population of approximately 48,000 according to the U.S. Census Bureau, Keller is a family-oriented suburban community consistently ranked among the best places to raise a family in Texas. The city spans roughly 19 square miles and is bordered by Southlake to the east, Roanoke to the north, Fort Worth to the west, and North Richland Hills to the south.
Key Takeaways
Keller's $520,000 median home price positions it as a premium family market with strong value relative to neighboring Southlake ($925K)
980+ annual residential transactions generate an estimated $28.1 million commission pool
Keller ISD's "A" TEA rating and award-winning athletics create the defining housing demand driver
Only 1.9 months of inventory citywide — the tightest supply among mid-cities suburbs
Family-focused farming automation through US Tech Automations delivers school-centric, community-oriented campaigns that resonate with Keller's family demographic
Keller Housing Inventory Analysis
Keller's inventory is among the tightest in the DFW metroplex, reflecting high demand from family buyers and limited remaining developable land. According to NTREIS data:
| Inventory Metric | Value | DFW Comparison | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active listings (avg monthly) | 155 | Below average | Declining |
| Months of supply | 1.9 | Well below DFW's 2.3 | Tightening |
| New listings (monthly avg) | 85 | Moderate | Stable |
| Avg days on market | 22 | 10 days below DFW avg | Decreasing |
| List-to-sale ratio | 99.1% | Above DFW's 97.5% | Increasing |
| Price reductions (% of listings) | 14% | Below DFW's 21% | Decreasing |
How tight is Keller's inventory? According to NTREIS, Keller's 1.9 months of supply is the lowest among mid-cities suburbs — below Southlake's 2.8, Colleyville's 2.4, and Grapevine's 2.2. This scarcity drives the 99.1% list-to-sale ratio, meaning properly-priced Keller homes sell at or near asking price. For farming agents, this tight inventory means every listing is a premium asset — securing the listing is the primary challenge, not selling it.
Keller's 14% price reduction rate — the lowest among mid-cities suburbs — indicates a market where sellers hold pricing power and buyers compete for limited inventory according to NTREIS monthly reports. Farming agents who help sellers price correctly in this environment secure faster sales and stronger referrals.
Housing Stock Composition
Keller's housing reflects its growth from a rural community to a premium suburb. According to Tarrant County Appraisal District records:
| Construction Era | % of Stock | Median Price | Avg Size | Lot Size (avg) | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-1990 (original Keller) | 15% | $385,000 | 2,200 sq ft | 0.50 acres | Mixed/renovated |
| 1990-2000 (first expansion) | 25% | $465,000 | 2,800 sq ft | 0.35 acres | Well-maintained |
| 2000-2010 (peak growth) | 35% | $545,000 | 3,200 sq ft | 0.28 acres | Modern |
| 2010-2020 (maturation) | 18% | $620,000 | 3,600 sq ft | 0.25 acres | Near-new |
| 2020-present (infill) | 7% | $710,000 | 3,800 sq ft | 0.22 acres | New |
What does Keller's housing age distribution mean for farming? According to Tarrant County data, 40% of Keller's housing was built before 2000 — these homeowners represent the highest-probability listing segment. With 25-35 years of ownership for many, they've accumulated significant equity ($200K-$400K estimated) and may be approaching life transitions. The US Tech Automations platform identifies these high-equity homeowners automatically and triggers equity-focused outreach campaigns.
Keller ISD: The Demand Engine
Keller ISD is the primary reason families choose Keller. According to Texas Education Agency data:
| KISD Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| TEA accountability rating | A | Texas Education Agency |
| Total enrollment | 35,500+ | KISD |
| Student-teacher ratio | 14:1 | TEA |
| Per-pupil spending | $11,500 | TEA |
| National Merit Semifinalists (2025) | 18 | College Board |
| State athletic championships (10 yr) | 15 | UIL |
| AP course offerings | 30+ | KISD |
| College attendance rate | 82% | KISD |
How much does Keller ISD add to home values? According to NTREIS comparative data, Keller ISD homes command a 12-16% premium over equivalent properties in adjacent Northwest ISD or HEB ISD. On the $520,000 median, this KISD premium represents $62,400-$83,200 in district-attributable value. For farming agents, KISD data is conversion-grade content — enrollment updates, campus achievements, and bond investment milestones directly affect home values.
Keller ISD's 82% college attendance rate and 18 National Merit Semifinalists in 2025 position it as one of DFW's top academic districts according to TEA data — creating a school-quality farming narrative that attracts family buyers from across the metroplex.
Keller Neighborhood Inventory Breakdown
According to NTREIS micro-area data:
| Neighborhood | Median Price | Monthly Inventory | Turnover Rate | Home Type | Farm Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Lakes | $585,000 | 12 | 6.5% | Single-family, community pool | High |
| Marshall Ridge | $625,000 | 10 | 5.8% | Premium, trail access | Premium |
| Hillcrest Estates | $495,000 | 15 | 7.2% | Established family | High Volume |
| Keller Smithfield | $445,000 | 18 | 7.8% | Older, larger lots | Value/renovation |
| Heritage Oaks | $550,000 | 8 | 6.0% | Newer, amenity-rich | Balanced |
| Bear Creek area | $465,000 | 14 | 7.5% | Family-oriented | High Volume |
| Shady Grove | $710,000 | 6 | 4.8% | Custom homes, acreage | Ultra-premium |
Which Keller neighborhoods offer the best farming ROI? According to NTREIS turnover analysis, Keller Smithfield's 7.8% annual turnover combined with older housing stock (renovation conversation starters) provides the fastest path to first closing. Hillcrest Estates and Bear Creek offer the best balance of volume and commission size. Hidden Lakes and Marshall Ridge command premium commissions but with longer farming cycles.
Keller vs. Mid-Cities Inventory Comparison
| Metric | Keller | Southlake | Colleyville | Grapevine | North Richland Hills |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $520,000 | $925,000 | $725,000 | $445,000 | $340,000 |
| Inventory (months) | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Days on market | 22 | 28 | 30 | 25 | 28 |
| Annual transactions | 980 | 582 | 480 | 780 | 1,250 |
| School district | Keller ISD (A) | Carroll ISD (A) | GCISD (A) | GCISD (A) | Birdville ISD (B+) |
| List-to-sale ratio | 99.1% | 97.5% | 97.8% | 98.5% | 97.2% |
Keller's competitive advantage: tightest inventory (1.9 months), fastest sales (22 DOM), highest list-to-sale ratio (99.1%), and strong school district at a price point that's 44% below Southlake and 28% below Colleyville. This value proposition drives family buyer demand from across the mid-cities corridor.
Automation Platform Comparison for Family-Market Farming
| Feature | US Tech Automations | kvCORE | BoomTown | Ylopo | Follow Up Boss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| School district tracking | KISD automated updates | No | No | No | No |
| Family-lifecycle segmentation | Age of children + tenure | Basic | Basic | Limited | Manual |
| Youth sports/activity integration | Community calendar auto-sync | No | No | No | No |
| Inventory scarcity alerts | Sub-2-month triggers | No | No | No | No |
| Back-to-school campaigns | Automated seasonal | No | No | No | No |
| Multi-channel campaigns | 12+ channels | 4 channels | 5 channels | 3 channels | 6 channels |
| Cost per farm contact/mo | $0.33 | $0.55 | $0.65 | $0.45 | $0.40 |
| Family farming score | 9.4/10 | 7.0/10 | 6.5/10 | 7.0/10 | 6.5/10 |
Inventory Forecast and Growth Projections
According to City of Keller planning data and NTREIS trend analysis:
| Year | Projected New Permits | Projected Resale Listings | Total Inventory | Median Price Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 85-95 | 890-920 | 975-1,015 | $540,000-$555,000 |
| 2027 | 70-80 | 910-940 | 980-1,020 | $560,000-$580,000 |
| 2028 | 55-65 | 920-950 | 975-1,015 | $585,000-$605,000 |
What does declining new construction mean for Keller farming? According to the City of Keller Planning Department, new construction permits have declined 35% over 5 years as available land becomes scarce. By 2028, resale transactions will represent 93%+ of all sales — up from 91% today. This gradual buildout creates a strengthening environment for farming agents: every future transaction will be a resale, and the agent with the established relationship wins.
Property Tax Analysis
According to Tarrant County Appraisal District records:
| Tax Component | Rate (per $100) | Annual Cost ($520K home) |
|---|---|---|
| Keller ISD | $1.2155 | $6,321 |
| Tarrant County | $0.2140 | $1,113 |
| City of Keller | $0.4326 | $2,250 |
| Tarrant County College | $0.1254 | $652 |
| Tarrant County Hospital | $0.2097 | $1,090 |
| Total | $2.1972 | $11,425 |
Keller homeowners pay approximately $952/month in property taxes on the median $520,000 home according to Tarrant County Appraisal District data — making property tax strategy (homestead exemption, protest filing, over-65 freeze) a consistently high-engagement farming topic. US Tech Automations automates May 15 protest deadline reminders and assessed-value change notifications.
Building a Keller Family Farm: Step-by-Step
Select a family-oriented neighborhood with 6.5%+ turnover. Hillcrest Estates, Keller Smithfield, and Bear Creek provide the best transaction velocity. Verify school campus assignments within your farm — KISD campus boundaries affect value.
Build your database from Tarrant County Appraisal District. Include purchase dates, family composition estimates (bedroom count indicates children), and assessed values. Import into US Tech Automations for family-lifecycle segmentation.
Segment by family life stage. Young families (children under 10): school start guides, playground proximity, youth sports leagues. Established families (children 10-17): high school athletics, college prep resources, driving-age neighborhood safety. Empty nesters (18+ year tenure): equity maximization, downsizing options, lifestyle transitions.
Create KISD-integrated content campaigns. School calendar integration, campus rating updates, bond investment milestones, and athletics championship coverage. These touchpoints demonstrate community investment beyond real estate.
Launch inventory scarcity messaging. With only 1.9 months of supply, "your home would attract multiple offers in today's market" messaging is factually supported by NTREIS data. Automated scarcity alerts trigger when inventory drops below key thresholds.
Develop back-to-school annual campaigns. August back-to-school is the largest community event on Keller's calendar. Farming content that includes school supply guides, campus maps, bus routes, and first-day tips creates annual engagement touchpoints.
Automate youth sports season content. KISD athletics — football, baseball, basketball, soccer — create natural farming touchpoints from August through June. Coverage of Heritage High School championship runs and youth league registrations demonstrates community presence.
Host family-oriented community events. Playground meetups, family movie nights at Bear Creek Park, and seasonal festivals create relationship-building opportunities that resonate with Keller's family demographic. According to NAR, family-event-hosting agents in suburban markets close 2.1x more listings.
Track renovation-opportunity homeowners. Pre-2000 homes (40% of Keller's stock) are prime renovation candidates. Automated outreach delivering renovation ROI data ("$50K kitchen update adds $65K-$80K to your home value") creates listing conversations.
Measure engagement by family life stage. Track which content (school data, equity reports, community events, renovation ROI) generates the highest response rates per life-stage segment. Optimize campaigns based on family-stage response data.
Keller Commute and Employment Demographics
Where Keller residents work influences when and why they move. According to Census Bureau Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics data:
| Employment Center | Commute Time | % of Keller Workers | Industry Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth central | 20-25 min | 22% | Defense, energy, healthcare |
| DFW Airport corridor | 15-20 min | 18% | Airlines, logistics, corporate |
| Alliance/North Fort Worth | 15-20 min | 14% | Logistics, manufacturing |
| Southlake/Westlake | 10-15 min | 12% | Corporate HQ, education |
| Downtown Dallas | 40-50 min | 8% | Professional services, legal |
| Work from home | N/A | 19% | Tech, professional services |
How do employment patterns affect Keller's housing market? According to Census data, Keller's employment access is weighted toward Fort Worth (22%) and DFW Airport (18%) — a dual-axis commute pattern that distinguishes it from eastern Collin County suburbs that orient exclusively toward Dallas. The 19% remote work rate — nearly triple pre-pandemic levels according to Census time-series data — has increased demand for homes with dedicated office space (fourth bedroom or bonus room) and high-speed internet infrastructure. For farming agents, commute optimization data and home-office capability messaging resonate with Keller's professional demographic.
Keller's dual Fort Worth/DFW Airport commute axis and 19% remote work rate create a diverse employment base that insulates the housing market from single-employer dependency according to Census LEHD data — a stability advantage that farming agents can highlight versus markets dependent on a single corporate campus.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Keller, TX?
According to NTREIS data through Q4 2025, Keller's median residential sale price is $520,000 with an average of $568,000. Prices range from $385,000 in older Keller Smithfield homes to $710,000+ in Shady Grove's custom estates. Price per square foot averages $185 citywide.
How many homes sell each year in Keller?
According to NTREIS, Keller recorded 982 residential closings in 2025. Monthly sales peak in June (105+ closings) driven by family buyers targeting school-year transitions, and trough in January (55 closings). The 980+ annual volume creates a $28.1 million commission pool.
Why is Keller's inventory so tight?
According to NTREIS and City of Keller data, three factors drive Keller's 1.9-month inventory: limited remaining developable land (85 permits projected for 2026 vs. 130 in 2021), high homeowner satisfaction reducing voluntary listings, and sustained family buyer demand driven by Keller ISD's "A" rating. This scarcity supports strong seller pricing and rapid sales.
How does Keller ISD affect home values?
According to TEA data and NTREIS comparisons, Keller ISD adds 12-16% to home values versus adjacent Northwest ISD and HEB ISD. On the $520,000 median, this premium equals $62,400-$83,200. KISD's 35,500+ enrollment, 82% college attendance rate, and 15 state athletic championships reinforce the district's reputation.
Is Keller a good market for real estate farming?
According to NTREIS data, Keller offers strong farming potential: 980+ annual transactions, 6.5-7.8% neighborhood turnover rates, tight 1.9-month inventory supporting seller pricing, and a family-oriented demographic that responds well to community-focused farming content. The $28.1 million commission pool supports 20-25 full-time farming agents at $100K+ income.
How does Keller compare to Southlake?
According to NTREIS data, Keller ($520K median) is 44% more affordable than Southlake ($925K) with higher transaction volume (980 vs 582). Keller offers comparable school quality (both A-rated districts), larger lots in established neighborhoods, and a more family-accessible price point. Southlake offers higher prestige, Town Square walkability, and approaching-buildout scarcity value.
What property taxes do Keller homeowners pay?
According to Tarrant County Appraisal District data, Keller's total effective tax rate is 2.20%. Annual taxes on the median $520,000 home total approximately $11,425 ($952/month). This is higher than Southlake's 1.72% rate but lower than Arlington's 2.38%, reflecting Keller ISD's investment in school facilities.
How fast is Keller growing?
According to Census estimates, Keller's population growth has slowed to approximately 1.5% annually as the city approaches buildout. The comprehensive plan accommodates a build-out population of approximately 52,000. This maturation shifts the market dynamic from new-construction growth to resale-dominated stability — favoring farming agents over builder partnerships.
Keller vs. Northwest Tarrant County Value Analysis
Understanding Keller's positioning against nearby markets helps farming agents craft compelling narratives. According to NTREIS comparative data:
| Value Factor | Keller | Roanoke | Haslet | North Richland Hills | Watauga |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median price | $520,000 | $445,000 | $385,000 | $340,000 | $295,000 |
| School district | Keller ISD (A) | Northwest ISD (B+) | Northwest ISD (B+) | Birdville ISD (B+) | Birdville ISD (B+) |
| Avg lot size | 0.30 acres | 0.22 acres | 0.35 acres | 0.18 acres | 0.15 acres |
| Community maturity | Established | Growing | New | Established | Established |
| Amenity package | Parks, trails, pools | Basic | Limited | Good | Basic |
| Commute to Fort Worth | 20 min | 25 min | 22 min | 18 min | 15 min |
Keller's premium over neighboring Roanoke and Haslet is justified by KISD's superior school ratings, established community amenities, and larger lot sizes. Farming agents can articulate this value proposition when targeting move-up buyers from North Richland Hills and Watauga who seek better schools and larger homes at achievable price points. The US Tech Automations platform can automate comparative market analyses that highlight Keller's advantages versus these neighboring communities, creating data-driven move-up conversations with potential buyers in adjacent markets.
Conclusion: Keller's Family-Focused Farming Opportunity
Keller's $28.1 million annual commission pool, driven by 980 transactions at a $520,000 median, represents the mid-cities' most family-focused farming opportunity. The 1.9-month inventory scarcity, 99.1% list-to-sale ratio, and Keller ISD's sustained demand create a seller's market that rewards agents who control listings.
The farming equation: a 400-home Keller farm with a 7% annual turnover rate produces approximately 28 potential transactions per year. Capturing 3-4 at the $15,600 average commission yields $46,800-$62,400 annually from $800-$1,200 monthly farming investment. The tight inventory ensures listings sell quickly, keeping your farming cycle productive.
The US Tech Automations platform provides the family-market automation Keller farming demands — KISD milestone tracking, family-lifecycle segmentation, youth sports integration, and inventory-scarcity messaging. Start with a 400-home farm in Hillcrest Estates or Bear Creek, invest $800-$1,200 monthly, and let family-focused automation build the community relationships that produce Keller listings.
About the Author
Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.
