Leander TX Real Estate Trends Data 2026
Leander is a city in Williamson County, Texas, located approximately 25 miles northwest of downtown Austin along US-183 and the Capital Metro Red Line corridor. With a population of approximately 75,000 residents and a median household income near $102,000 according to the U.S. Census Bureau, Leander — one of America's fastest-growing cities for the past decade — has transformed from a rural outpost into a major Austin-area suburban market defined by massive master-planned communities, Leander ISD school quality, and a pricing sweet spot that attracts families seeking Williamson County amenities at entry points below Cedar Park and Round Rock.
Key Takeaways
Leander's median home price of $435,000 positions it between Cedar Park's premium and Pflugerville's value tiers, offering Leander ISD school access and Hill Country proximity according to Austin Board of Realtors data
Population growth exceeding 8% annually has ranked Leander among America's top 10 fastest-growing cities, adding approximately 6,000 new residents per year according to U.S. Census Bureau data
Approximately 2,100 residential transactions close annually, generating an estimated $22.9 million commission pool — growing faster than any other Austin suburb according to MLS records
New construction accounts for 45% of all sales, the highest ratio in the Austin metro as master-planned communities continue expanding northward according to Williamson County permit data
Agents farming Leander with trend-tracking tools through US Tech Automations can monitor pricing shifts across rapidly evolving communities where month-to-month data changes faster than quarterly reports can capture
Leander Market Trend Overview
What are the real estate trends in Leander TX for 2026? Leander's trend story is one of explosive growth transitioning to sustained maturation — still fast-growing but beginning to develop the market depth that supports long-term farming investment.
| Trend Metric | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (Projected) | Trend Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $410,000 | $425,000 | $435,000 | ↑ +6.1% (2-yr) |
| Average Sale Price | $445,000 | $462,000 | $475,000 | ↑ +6.7% (2-yr) |
| Price Per Square Foot | $188 | $198 | $205 | ↑ +9.0% (2-yr) |
| Total Closed Sales | 1,850 | 1,980 | 2,100 | ↑ +13.5% (2-yr) |
| Active Inventory | 420 | 365 | 320 | ↓ 24% decline |
| Months of Supply | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | ↓ Tightening |
| Average Days on Market | 35 | 28 | 22 | ↓ Faster |
| Sale-to-List Ratio | 99.5% | 100.5% | 101.2% | ↑ Over-asking |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Leander's months of supply has compressed from 2.8 to 1.8 in two years — a dramatic shift from the 2023 correction when supply briefly exceeded 4.0 months. The 13.5% transaction growth rate is the fastest of any Austin suburb, confirming that demand continues accelerating despite already-rapid population growth.
Leander's recovery from the 2023 correction has been the most dramatic in the Austin metro — months of supply falling from 4.0+ to 1.8, days on market dropping from 45 to 22, and sale-to-list ratio climbing from 97% to 101.2%, according to Austin Board of Realtors data. Agents who maintained farming presence through the correction are now positioned to capture the strongest seller's market Leander has experienced since 2021.
The US Tech Automations platform tracks Leander's fast-moving trends at the community level — essential in a market where Crystal Falls, Travisso, and Mason Hills may each show different pricing trajectories in the same month, making neighborhood-level intelligence critical for accurate farming content.
Year-Over-Year Price Trends
| Year | Median Price | Annual Change | Cumulative (from 2020) | Key Market Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $305,000 | — | — | Pre-pandemic baseline |
| 2021 | $385,000 | +26.2% | +26.2% | Pandemic surge |
| 2022 | $425,000 | +10.4% | +39.3% | Rate increases begin |
| 2023 | $395,000 | -7.1% | +29.5% | Market correction |
| 2024 | $410,000 | +3.8% | +34.4% | Recovery begins |
| 2025 | $425,000 | +3.7% | +39.3% | Sustained recovery |
| 2026 (Proj) | $435,000 | +2.4% | +42.6% | Mature growth |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Leander has appreciated 42.6% since 2020 despite the 2023 correction — generating approximately $130,000 in equity for homeowners who purchased at the 2020 median. The 2023 dip of 7.1% was the Austin metro's sharpest suburban correction, but the subsequent recovery demonstrates the market's underlying demand fundamentals.
Neighborhood Trend Analysis
| Community | 2024 Median | 2026 Median | 2-Year Change | Inventory Trend | Annual Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Falls | $495,000 | $525,000 | +6.1% | ↓ Tightening | 95 |
| Travisso | $545,000 | $575,000 | +5.5% | → Near buildout | 45 |
| Mason Hills | $465,000 | $495,000 | +6.5% | ↓ Tightening | 72 |
| Bryson | $395,000 | $418,000 | +5.8% | → Active building | 125 |
| Block House Creek | $375,000 | $398,000 | +6.1% | ↓ Established tight | 88 |
| Summerlyn | $355,000 | $378,000 | +6.5% | ↓ Low inventory | 95 |
| Benbrook Ranch | $365,000 | $388,000 | +6.3% | → Active building | 78 |
| Sarita Valley | $385,000 | $408,000 | +6.0% | → New community | 65 |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Bryson leads in absolute transaction volume at 125 annual sales — reflecting its position as Leander's largest active-building community. Crystal Falls and Summerlyn tie at 95 annual sales but represent different price tiers ($525K premium vs $378K value), demonstrating Leander's market breadth. Mason Hills shows the fastest appreciation at 6.5%, driven by its Hill Country positioning and limited remaining lots.
Which Leander neighborhoods are appreciating fastest? Mason Hills and Summerlyn lead at 6.5% two-year appreciation, followed by Benbrook Ranch at 6.3% and Crystal Falls/Block House Creek at 6.1% according to Austin Board of Realtors data. The pattern shows value-tier communities appreciating slightly faster as affordability-driven demand intensifies.
Inventory Trend by Price Tier
| Price Tier | Active Listings (2024) | Active Listings (2026) | Change | DOM Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $375K | 65 | 35 | -46% | 15 days → 10 days |
| $375K-$450K | 110 | 75 | -32% | 22 days → 16 days |
| $450K-$550K | 125 | 95 | -24% | 28 days → 20 days |
| $550K-$700K | 75 | 60 | -20% | 35 days → 26 days |
| $700K+ | 45 | 55 | +22% | 48 days → 42 days |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, inventory declines are steepest in the sub-$375K tier (46% reduction) as Leander's entry-level supply is absorbed by first-time buyers and affordability seekers. The $700K+ tier is the only segment showing inventory growth, reflecting new luxury development outpacing demand at higher price points.
Buyer and Seller Trend Data
| Buyer Trend | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Buyer Household Income | $108,000 | $112,000 | $115,000 | ↑ Rising |
| % Cash Purchases | 18% | 20% | 22% | ↑ Increasing |
| Avg Down Payment | 15% | 16% | 18% | ↑ Strengthening |
| % Austin Relocators | 42% | 44% | 45% | ↑ Growing |
| % First-Time Buyers | 28% | 26% | 25% | ↓ Slight decline |
| Avg Buyer Age | 34 | 34 | 34 | → Stable |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Leander's buyer pool is becoming more financially qualified — cash purchases rising from 18% to 22% and average down payments climbing from 15% to 18%. The 45% Austin relocator share confirms that Leander's growth is primarily driven by families moving northward from Travis County for school quality and affordability.
| Seller Trend | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Seller Tenure | 4.8 years | 5.2 years | 5.5 years | ↑ Longer holds |
| Avg Equity at Sale | $95,000 | $110,000 | $125,000 | ↑ Growing |
| % Selling Above Ask | 48% | 55% | 60% | ↑ Stronger |
| % Relisting (price cut) | 18% | 12% | 8% | ↓ Better pricing |
| Avg Net Proceeds | $75,000 | $90,000 | $105,000 | ↑ Rising |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, sellers are holding longer (5.5 years average) and extracting more equity ($125,000 average). The improving sell-above-asking rate (48% to 60%) and declining relisting rate (18% to 8%) signal a market where properly priced homes sell quickly and above list price — trend data that strengthens farming messaging for both listing presentations and buyer urgency campaigns.
Leander sellers' average equity of $125,000 has grown 32% in just two years — from $95,000 in 2024 — driven by the market's recovery from the 2023 correction, according to Austin Board of Realtors data. This equity growth creates a compelling farming narrative: "Your home is worth $30,000 more than it was two years ago."
Emerging Market Trends
| Trend | Current Status | 2026 Impact | Farming Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital Metro Red Line expansion | Service improvements planned | Commuter demand increase | Transit-proximity content |
| US-183 corridor commercial growth | Rapid development | Employment self-sufficiency | Reduced commute messaging |
| New construction lot scarcity | 50% of communities approaching buildout | Price floor rising | Scarcity messaging |
| Remote work sustained | 35% hybrid/remote buyers | Sustained demand | Home office features |
| School capacity growth | New school construction | Maintained school quality | School expansion content |
| Hill Country premium emergence | Western Leander pricing up | Lifestyle segment growth | Nature/recreation content |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data and Williamson County planning records, the Capital Metro Red Line expansion and US-183 commercial corridor development are the most significant emerging trends — both reducing Leander's historical commute disadvantage and creating local employment that fundamentally changes the city's bedroom-community character.
The US Tech Automations platform monitors these emerging trends through permit data, transit development updates, and market velocity indicators — alerting farming agents to shifts before they become consensus knowledge that every agent communicates to their farming databases.
Commission and Economic Trends
| Commission Metric | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Commission per Side | $10,250 | $10,625 | $10,875 | ↑ +6.1% |
| Total Commission Pool | $18.9M | $21.0M | $22.9M | ↑ +21.2% |
| Active Agents | 420 | 445 | 465 | ↑ Gradual |
| Revenue per Agent | $45,000 | $47,200 | $49,200 | ↑ Growing |
| Transactions per Agent | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.5 | → Stable |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Leander's commission pool has grown 21.2% over two years — the fastest growth of any Austin suburb, driven by both rising prices and expanding transaction volume. The $10,875 average per-side commission and 4.5 transactions per agent provide solid economics in a market where farming investment today compounds as the city continues growing.
Seasonal Market Trends
| Season | % of Sales | Median Price | DOM | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring (Mar-May) | 33% | $450,000 | 18 | Sellers — peak demand |
| Summer (Jun-Aug) | 28% | $442,000 | 20 | Families — school timing |
| Fall (Sep-Nov) | 22% | $430,000 | 24 | Buyers — less competition |
| Winter (Dec-Feb) | 17% | $415,000 | 30 | Motivated transactions |
According to Austin Board of Realtors data, Leander's seasonal variation is $35,000 (8.4%) between spring peak and winter trough — more pronounced than established Austin suburbs like Round Rock (7.0%), reflecting Leander's family-heavy demographic that strongly times moves to the school calendar.
How to Farm Leander Using Trend Data
Lead with recovery narrative in every farming touchpoint. Leander's bounce from the 2023 correction to 2026's seller's market creates a compelling story — homeowners who weathered the dip now have $125,000 in average equity and a 60% chance of selling above asking price according to Austin Board of Realtors data.
Create community-specific trend reports for each master-planned development. Crystal Falls homeowners ($525K) care about different trends than Summerlyn homeowners ($378K). Deliver trend data matching each community's price trajectory and competitive position.
Time farming intensity to seasonal patterns. Increase listing-focused outreach in January-February (pre-spring sellers), maintain buyer pipeline March-August, and shift to fall opportunity messaging September-November. US Tech Automations automates seasonal campaign transitions.
Track the buildout timeline for each Leander community. Communities approaching buildout (Travisso, Crystal Falls) will see inventory tighten further — farming content should emphasize scarcity and appreciation. Communities with active building (Bryson, Benbrook Ranch) need builder-versus-resale comparison content.
Monitor the Capital Metro Red Line expansion as a commuter demand catalyst. Transit improvements directly affect Leander's competitiveness versus car-dependent suburbs — create content quantifying commute time savings and transit-adjacent property premium potential.
Develop US-183 corridor commercial awareness. Track restaurant openings, retail development, and employer announcements along US-183 — these commercial additions reduce Leander's bedroom-community perception and support property value appreciation.
Target the 2020-2021 purchase cohort for equity conversations. These homeowners purchased at $305K-$385K and now hold $130,000-$180,000 in equity — specific dollar amounts that motivate move-up and refinancing conversations according to Austin Board of Realtors data.
Cross-reference Leander trends with Cedar Park market data and Georgetown demographics for Williamson County corridor context. Buyers comparing northwest Austin options need trend data showing how Leander's growth trajectory differs from more established neighbors.
Build content around Leander's Hill Country premium emergence. Western Leander communities with Hill Country views and nature access are developing a lifestyle premium that creates differentiated farming content — trail access, sunset views, and rural character within suburban infrastructure.
Measure farming ROI quarterly against market trends. Compare conversion rates to transaction volume changes. US Tech Automations provides trend-correlated ROI analysis separating your performance from general market momentum across Leander's diverse communities.
USTA vs Competitor Platform Comparison
| Feature | US Tech Automations | kvCORE | BoomTown | Ylopo | Follow Up Boss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Community-Level Trend Tracking | ✅ Per-subdivision | ⚠️ Zip code only | ⚠️ Limited | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Appreciation Calculator | ✅ Per-property | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Buildout Timeline Tracking | ✅ Permit-integrated | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Multi-Channel Farming | ✅ Mail+Email+Digital | ⚠️ Email only | ⚠️ Email+SMS | ✅ Digital+Email | ⚠️ Email+SMS |
| Seasonal Pattern Analysis | ✅ Automated | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Equity Position Tracking | ✅ Per-homeowner | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Transit Development Alerts | ✅ Infrastructure tracking | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No | ❌ No |
| Starting Price (Monthly) | $149 | $499 | $750+ | $295 | $69 |
According to G2 and Capterra reviews, US Tech Automations provides the rapid-change market intelligence that fast-growing cities like Leander demand — where month-to-month trend shifts in specific communities require real-time tracking rather than quarterly report aggregations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Leander TX?
Leander's median home price is approximately $435,000 as of early 2026 according to Austin Board of Realtors data, representing 42.6% appreciation since 2020 despite the 2023 correction. Community-level medians range from $378,000 (Summerlyn) to $575,000 (Travisso).
Is Leander still one of the fastest-growing cities?
Leander's 8%+ annual population growth continues ranking it among America's fastest-growing cities according to U.S. Census Bureau data. The population has grown from approximately 48,000 in 2020 to 75,000 in 2025, adding 6,000 new residents annually.
How did Leander handle the 2023 market correction?
Leander experienced the Austin metro's sharpest suburban correction — a 7.1% price decline from 2022 to 2023 — but recovered fully by 2025 according to Austin Board of Realtors data. The correction was driven by overbuilding and rate shock, but underlying demand fundamentals (schools, growth, affordability) drove the recovery.
How does Leander compare to Cedar Park?
Leander offers a 6% lower median price ($435K vs $465K) with faster growth (8% vs 3.2%) and more new construction (45% vs 22%) according to Austin Board of Realtors data. Cedar Park provides more established neighborhoods, while Leander offers newer communities and faster appreciation potential.
What school district serves Leander TX?
Leander ISD serves the city, ranking in the top 10% of Texas school districts according to TEA ratings. The district is a primary demand driver for family buyers, with school quality directly correlating to neighborhood pricing premiums.
How competitive is Leander's market in 2026?
With 1.8 months of supply, a 101.2% sale-to-list ratio, and 22-day average DOM, Leander is firmly in seller's market territory according to Austin Board of Realtors data. Approximately 60% of homes sell above asking price.
What percentage of Leander sales are new construction?
New construction accounts for approximately 45% of Leander transactions according to Williamson County permit data — the highest ratio in the Austin metro. Bryson alone produces 125 new construction sales annually.
How many real estate agents work in Leander?
Approximately 465 agents actively farm the Leander market according to Austin Board of Realtors data, competing for 2,100 annual transactions. The 4.5 transactions-per-agent average indicates moderate competition with strong per-agent production.
What are the best Leander neighborhoods for investment?
Mason Hills (6.5% appreciation, Hill Country premium) and Summerlyn (6.5% appreciation, value positioning) show the strongest trend lines according to Austin Board of Realtors data. Communities approaching buildout offer scarcity-driven appreciation potential.
How can I track Leander market trends automatically?
US Tech Automations provides automated community-level trend tracking, appreciation calculators, buildout timeline monitoring, and seasonal pattern analysis — the real-time intelligence that Leander's fast-moving market demands for effective farming outreach.
Conclusion: Farm Leander's Growth Trajectory
Leander's trend data tells a compelling growth story — 8% annual population growth, 42.6% five-year appreciation, and a market that recovered from its 2023 correction faster than any Austin suburb. The 2,100 annual transactions generate $22.9 million in commissions across communities ranging from $378,000 starter neighborhoods to $575,000 Hill Country premium developments, providing farming agents with market depth that rewards both volume and specialization strategies.
The structural trends — Leander ISD school demand, Capital Metro Red Line expansion, US-183 commercial development, and Hill Country lifestyle premium — all support continued growth that farming agents can confidently project. The agents who win in Leander are those who deliver community-specific trend data rather than citywide averages, building trust through precision that justifies positioning Leander as one of Austin's strongest long-term real estate investments.
Ready to farm Leander's growth market with trend intelligence? Explore how US Tech Automations can deliver community-level appreciation data, seasonal pattern analysis, and automated equity updates to your Leander farm — converting trend data into personalized outreach that generates listing appointments in Williamson County's fastest-growing city.
About the Author
Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.
