Research & Data

Secondary School Teacher AI Automation ROI (2026 Data)

Jun 18, 2026

Most "AI will automate X% of jobs" claims are unsourced. This page does the opposite: it builds a secondary school teacher ROI estimate task by task, from three sealed public datasets, and shows its work on every number so you can check it.

Headline: a secondary school teacher carries about 771 AI-addressable hours a year. At a loaded rate of $46.06/hour that is $35,512 of gross value; after a stated $12,000/year tooling budget, the Year-1 net is $23,512 per full-time employee.

Those numbers are a planning estimate built from defaults, not a quote. The three inputs — task hours, wage, and AI-addressable share — come from sealed public datasets; the three assumptions — a 2,080-hour work year, a 1.3× labor-loading multiplier, and the tooling budget — are stated in the open and adjustable in the calculator at the foot of this page. Change them and every figure recomputes.

Who this is for

EdTech and corporate-L&D buyers, education operations leads, and anyone building the business case for an AI assistant aimed at secondary school teachers. If you need a number you can defend in a budget meeting — with a citation behind every cell — this is built for you.

How much of a secondary school teacher's work is AI-addressable?

Across all secondary school teacher work, the Anthropic Economic Index observes an AI-exposure rate of 29% — meaning 29% of this occupation's measured Claude.ai task interactions showed an automation or augmentation pattern. That is an observed-usage figure, not a ceiling on what is technically possible.

At the task level the picture is sharper. O*NET lists 32 distinct work tasks for this role. Of those, 13 have their own task-specific usage measurement in the Anthropic Economic Index; the remainder fall back to the occupation-level exposure above, and every row in the table below is labelled with which source it used (aei_task for a task's own data, aei_occ for the occupation fallback). We never silently mix the two.

For scale: BLS counts 1,072,540 people employed in this occupation nationally, at a mean wage of $73,700 a year. That wage is the spine of the dollar figures here.

The sealed task breakdown

Each row is one ONET task. Importance and Relevance are sealed ONET ratings; modeled hours allocates a 2,080-hour year across tasks in proportion to Importance×Relevance; AI-addressable share is the Anthropic Economic Index usage figure; hours saved and gross value follow from them. The table shows the 14 highest-value addressable tasks.

O*NET task	Importance (1–5)	Relevance	Modeled hrs/yr	AI-addressable share	Source	Hrs saved/yr	Gross value/yr
Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and…	3.93	97%	70	79.1%	`aei_task`	56	$2,561
Prepare, administer, and grade tests and assignments to evaluate students' progress.	4.06	99.8%	75	62.1%	`aei_task`	46	$2,137
Meet with parents and guardians to discuss their children's progress and to…	3.53	99.6%	65	64.9%	`aei_task`	42	$1,939
Prepare objectives and outlines for courses of study, following curriculum…	3.91	97.5%	70	57%	`aei_task`	40	$1,847
Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.	4.3	100%	79	45.1%	`aei_task`	36	$1,644
Confer with parents or guardians, other teachers, counselors, and administrators…	3.71	100%	68	50%	`aei_task`	34	$1,575
Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.	3.47	97.3%	62	50.9%	`aei_task`	32	$1,455
Use computers, audio-visual aids, and other equipment and materials to…	3.91	99.5%	72	43.1%	`aei_task`	31	$1,428
Prepare and implement remedial programs for students requiring extra help.	3.67	83.3%	56	50.8%	`aei_task`	29	$1,317
Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction,…	3.92	99.6%	72	32.8%	`aei_task`	24	$1,087
Plan and supervise class projects, field trips, visits by guest speakers, or…	3.34	99.1%	61	38.5%	`aei_task`	24	$1,082
Prepare students for later grades by encouraging them to explore learning…	4.34	100%	80	29%	`aei_occ`	23	$1,069
Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order…	4.32	100%	80	29%	`aei_occ`	23	$1,064
Adapt teaching methods and instructional materials to meet students' varying…	4.24	100%	78	28.7%	`aei_task`	22	$1,032

Reading one row: the top task above is modeled at 70 hours/year; the Economic Index puts its AI-addressable share at 79.1%, so 56 hours are addressable, worth $2,561 at the loaded rate. Nothing is rounded up: hours saved is hours × share, full stop.

The ROI math, in full

No black box. Here is every step:

Loaded hourly cost = (mean annual wage $73,700 ÷ 2,080 hours) × 1.3 loading = $46.06/hour. The 1.3× covers benefits, payroll tax, and overhead on top of base pay.
Addressable hours saved = the sum of (task hours × AI-addressable share) across the role's addressable tasks = 771 hours/year.
Gross annual value = 771 hours × $46.06 = $35,512/year.
Net Year-1 ROI = $35,512 gross − $12,000 stated tooling budget = $23,512 per FTE.

The break-even point is worth stating plainly: this role's AI-addressable work is worth $35,512 a year at the loaded rate, so any tooling spend below $35,512 per FTE is net-positive on hours alone — before any quality, speed, or capacity upside.

Methodology and honest limitations

The single most important caveat: the Anthropic Economic Index measures observed Claude.ai usage patterns, not a theoretical "this much of the job can be automated." A high share means practitioners are already routing that task to AI; a low share can mean the task is hard to automate or simply that few people have tried. Treat these as a grounded default, then replace them with your own automatable share in the calculator — that is exactly what it is for.

The hour-allocation heuristic. O*NET does not publish hours per task, so we allocate the work year in proportion to each task's Importance×Relevance. It is a transparent, defensible split, not a stopwatch study; if you know your team spends disproportionate time on one task, the calculator lets you see the table and reason about it.

The wage is a national mean. BLS OEWS reports a $73,700 mean across all employers nationally (median $64,580). Your local, loaded cost may differ; set your own wage to localize the dollars.

What this is. A sourced, reproducible first estimate to start a buying conversation — not a guarantee of savings. The value of the method is that every input is sealed and checkable, so a skeptic can audit it rather than argue with a vendor's slide.

Sources

O*NET 30_3 — task statements and Importance/Relevance ratings. This page includes information from O*NET 30.3 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA). Used under the CC BY 4.0 license. License: CC BY 4.0. Sealed snapshot 251d3df7766aa152, evidence 9e12c3890449ec21.
BLS OEWS May 2024 — occupational mean wage and employment. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics (OEWS), May 2024. License: Public Domain (17 U.S.C. §105 — U.S. Government work). Sealed snapshot d032d178d7a95cdc, evidence 1237fd6700a000e9.
Anthropic Economic Index — observed AI task/occupation exposure (Claude.ai usage). Source: Anthropic Economic Index (https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex), released under CC-BY. Reflects observed Claude.ai usage patterns, not a measure of theoretical automatability. Pinned to commit db51ecb12920, sealed snapshot c6870bb780772e4f, evidence 66b4254a97b1e852.

Every numeral on this page is reproducible from those three sealed snapshots by re-running our open model — there is no hand-entered or estimated figure in the tables or the math.

FAQ

Is "29% AI exposure" the share of the job AI will replace?
No. It is the share of measured Claude.ai task interactions for this occupation that showed an automation or augmentation pattern — an observed-usage signal, not a replacement forecast.

Where does the $73,700 wage come from?
BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024 — the national mean annual wage for this occupation, used verbatim from the sealed snapshot.

How do you get 771 hours saved?
For each addressable task we multiply its modeled annual hours by its AI-addressable share, then sum. Modeled hours allocate a 2,080-hour year by each task's O*NET Importance×Relevance.

Can I change the assumptions?
Yes — the calculator below this article lets you set the wage, the work-year hours, the labor-loading multiplier, the tooling budget, and each task's automatable share. The net ROI updates live.

Why these three data sources?
O*NET gives the tasks, BLS gives the labor cost, and the Anthropic Economic Index grounds "how much is AI-addressable" in real usage rather than a guess. Each is public and pinned to a sealed snapshot.

Run your own numbers

The interactive calculator below loads this role's sealed task table. Adjust the wage, hours, loading, tooling budget, or any task's automatable share, and watch the net Year-1 ROI move. The defaults are the sourced figures above; the controls are yours.

Loading the interactive ROI calculator…