Trumbull CT Home Prices & Commission Data 2026
Key Takeaways:
Trumbull's median home price of $515,000 positions it as Fairfield County's strongest mid-market value — offering top-ranked schools and suburban quality at 40% below neighboring Westport pricing
The town's 23.6-square-mile footprint encompasses 13,400 households generating 380-420 annual transactions, creating a substantial farming base with diverse price segments from $350,000 to $1.2M+
Agent-side commission averaging $13,130 per transaction combined with moderate competition (25% of agents closing 6+/year) creates strong income potential for committed farming agents
The $400,000-$600,000 segment drives 52% of transactions — first-time buyers from Bridgeport and move-up buyers from Stratford form the primary demand pipeline
US Tech Automations helps agents capture Trumbull's cross-town buyer flow with automated price-point segmentation, school-district marketing, and commission optimization workflows
Trumbull Home Price Fundamentals
Trumbull is a town in Fairfield County, Connecticut, located approximately 60 miles northeast of New York City and bordered by Monroe to the north, Shelton to the northeast, Stratford to the south, Bridgeport to the southeast, and Easton to the west. The town's position as a mid-market alternative to Fairfield County's more expensive Gold Coast communities creates consistent demand from both first-time buyers and families seeking school quality without Gold Coast price tags, according to Fairfield County geographic records.
What are home prices in Trumbull CT? According to SmartMLS data, Trumbull's median home price of $515,000 reflects a 6.8% year-over-year appreciation — outpacing the Fairfield County average of 4.2%. The town's appeal as a school-quality suburb accessible to Bridgeport, Shelton, and Stratford commuters drives sustained demand that has pushed prices 35% higher than their 2019 pre-pandemic levels, according to market trend analysis.
| Price Indicator | Trumbull CT | Shelton CT | Stratford CT | Fairfield County |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $515,000 | $430,000 | $375,000 | $625,000 |
| Average Sale Price | $558,000 | $465,000 | $398,000 | $712,000 |
| Price per Square Foot | $235 | $210 | $195 | $298 |
| Median List Price | $535,000 | $445,000 | $385,000 | $649,000 |
| Sale-to-List Ratio | 96.3% | 96.7% | 97.5% | 96.1% |
| YoY Appreciation | +6.8% | +5.5% | +7.2% | +4.2% |
According to SmartMLS data, Trumbull's $235 price per square foot represents a 21% discount to the Fairfield County average — a value gap that continues to attract buyers who prioritize square footage and lot size over prestige addresses. The 96.3% sale-to-list ratio indicates balanced market conditions where sellers achieve near-asking prices without the aggressive bidding wars seen in lower-supply markets, according to market balance analysis.
Trumbull's $515,000 median price means a household earning $140,000 can comfortably qualify for homeownership — an income level accessible to dual-professional families from Bridgeport, Shelton, and Stratford looking to upgrade school districts, according to standard mortgage qualification analysis.
Price Distribution by Segment
| Price Range | Transaction Share | Buyer Profile | Avg. DOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under $350,000 | 10% | First-time, condos | 28 |
| $350,000–$450,000 | 18% | Young families | 32 |
| $450,000–$550,000 | 24% | Core family market | 35 |
| $550,000–$700,000 | 28% | Move-up families | 38 |
| $700,000–$900,000 | 13% | Premium segment | 45 |
| $900,000+ | 7% | Luxury/new build | 55 |
Which price segment drives Trumbull sales? According to SmartMLS transaction data, the $400,000-$700,000 range accounts for 70% of Trumbull closings — the broadest active range among mid-Fairfield County towns. This range captures first-time buyers entering Trumbull from less expensive markets (Bridgeport, Stratford) and move-up families upgrading from starter homes to 4-bedroom colonials in established neighborhoods, according to buyer migration analysis.
According to buyer origin data, approximately 35% of Trumbull purchasers relocate from Bridgeport (seeking school district upgrade), 20% from Stratford (seeking larger homes), and 15% from within Trumbull (moving up or downsizing). The remaining 30% come from New York City relocations and other Connecticut towns — a diverse demand base that insulates the market from single-source dependency, according to migration pattern analysis.
Price Analysis by Neighborhood
| Neighborhood | Median Price | Price/Sq Ft | Year Built | Annual Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tashua | $625,000 | $268 | 1985 | 55 |
| Long Hill | $575,000 | $252 | 1975 | 48 |
| Unity Park area | $485,000 | $228 | 1968 | 52 |
| Daniels Farm | $545,000 | $245 | 1980 | 42 |
| Town Center | $465,000 | $218 | 1960 | 38 |
| White Plains area | $520,000 | $238 | 1978 | 45 |
| Nichols | $680,000 | $285 | 1990 | 30 |
According to SmartMLS neighborhood-level data, Trumbull's price range from Town Center ($465,000) to Nichols ($680,000) creates a $215,000 intra-town spread that supports neighborhood-specific farming strategies. Tashua's $625,000 median and 55 annual transactions make it the town's most active premium neighborhood — a farming zone that generates 14% of all town transactions at above-median values, according to neighborhood analysis.
According to SmartMLS data, Trumbull's Nichols neighborhood — bordering Fairfield — commands a $680,000 median that approaches Fairfield pricing ($725,000) while technically remaining in Trumbull's school system, creating a cross-town value arbitrage that sophisticated buyers actively seek.
Historical Price Trends
| Year | Median Price | YoY Change | Annual Sales | Avg. DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $420,000 | +12.5% | 440 | 22 |
| 2022 | $470,000 | +11.9% | 410 | 25 |
| 2023 | $475,000 | +1.1% | 370 | 42 |
| 2024 | $482,000 | +1.5% | 385 | 40 |
| 2025 | $515,000 | +6.8% | 400 | 35 |
According to SmartMLS historical data, Trumbull's price trajectory shows the classic pandemic pattern: rapid appreciation in 2021-2022 (12.5% and 11.9%), rate-driven slowdown in 2023, and renewed momentum in 2025 as mortgage rates stabilized. The 2025 acceleration to 6.8% — after two years of sub-2% growth — signals a market returning to demand-driven appreciation rather than pandemic-era speculation, according to market cycle analysis.
Is the Trumbull market overvalued? According to affordability analysis, Trumbull's price-to-income ratio of approximately 3.7x (median home price to median household income) falls within the sustainable range for suburban Connecticut communities. The town's school quality, Metro-North proximity, and relative affordability within Fairfield County support continued appreciation in the 4-6% range, according to fair-value assessment modeling.
Commission and Agent Economics
| Commission Metric | Trumbull CT | Fairfield County | Connecticut |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Commission Rate | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Agent-Side Commission | 2.55% | 2.50% | 2.55% |
| Commission per Transaction | $13,133 | $15,625 | $10,710 |
| Licensed Agents (Area) | 180 | — | — |
| Agents Closing 6+/Year | 45 (25%) | — | 28% |
What can agents earn farming Trumbull CT? According to Connecticut Association of Realtors data, Trumbull's $13,133 median commission per transaction combines substantial per-deal income with high enough transaction volume (400/year) to support significant annual production. An agent capturing 5% market share — 20 transactions — generates $262,660 in annual GCI from a single farming zone, according to production modeling.
| Farming Strategy | Monthly Cost | Est. Deals | Annual GCI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starter Farm (500 homes) | $750 | 4–6 | $52,530–$78,800 |
| Growth Farm (1,500 homes) | $1,400 | 10–16 | $131,330–$210,130 |
| Dominant Farm (3,000+ homes) | $2,200 | 20–28 | $262,660–$367,720 |
According to NAR production data, the "dominant farm" tier delivering 20-28 annual Trumbull transactions would place an agent among the top 5 producers in the market — a realistic target for agents committed to a 2-3 year farming investment. US Tech Automations commission tracking dashboards monitor per-farm ROI monthly, ensuring your marketing investment generates measurable returns across each neighborhood segment.
Buyer Affordability Analysis
| Income Level | Max Purchase Price | Trumbull Options | % of Buyers |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100,000 | $350,000 | Condos, entry homes | 12% |
| $140,000 | $500,000 | Core market access | 28% |
| $175,000 | $625,000 | Premium neighborhoods | 25% |
| $225,000 | $800,000 | Tashua, Nichols | 18% |
| $300,000+ | $1,000,000+ | New build, luxury | 12% |
According to Census Bureau income data and standard mortgage qualification formulas, Trumbull's $515,000 median requires approximately $140,000 household income with 20% down — achievable for dual-income professional households from surrounding markets. The town's affordability advantage over Gold Coast communities (Greenwich, Westport, Darien) expands the buyer pool to include families earning $140,000-$225,000 who cannot access those premium markets, according to affordability analysis.
How much house can you afford in Trumbull CT? According to mortgage qualification data at current interest rates, a household earning $175,000 with 20% down and no significant debt can qualify for approximately $625,000 — opening access to Trumbull's premium Tashua and Daniels Farm neighborhoods. This income level is common among dual-professional families in the Bridgeport-Stamford corridor, according to regional income analysis.
Property Tax Analysis
| Taxing Component | Mill Rate | Annual Tax on $515,000 Home |
|---|---|---|
| Town of Trumbull | 34.49 mills | $17,762 |
| Education (within town) | Included | — |
| Fire Protection | Included | — |
| Total Effective Rate | 34.49 mills | $17,762 |
According to the Trumbull Tax Assessor's office, the town's 34.49 mill rate produces an annual tax obligation of $17,762 on a median-priced home. While higher than the state average, Trumbull's mill rate is below Stratford (39.47 mills) and Bridgeport (54.37 mills) — meaning buyers upgrading from those towns actually reduce their effective tax rate while gaining significantly higher property values, according to comparative tax analysis.
According to Connecticut Office of Policy and Management data, Trumbull's property taxes fund one of the state's top-performing school systems — a value equation that agents should present as "cost per quality" rather than an absolute burden. At $17,762 per year for top-10% Connecticut schools, Trumbull's education cost is approximately 40% below private school tuition ($30,000-$45,000), according to educational cost comparison data.
According to Trumbull tax records, the town's 70% assessment ratio means a $515,000 market value home is assessed at approximately $360,500 — the mill rate applies to the assessed value, not market value, a distinction agents must explain clearly to out-of-state buyers.
Demographic Impact on Pricing
| Demographic Factor | Trumbull CT | Fairfield County | Price Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Household Income | $138,000 | $105,000 | Supports $500K+ pricing |
| Population | 36,800 | 957,000 | Mid-size suburban |
| Median Age | 42.5 | 40.1 | Family-oriented |
| Households with Children | 38% | 33% | School demand driver |
| College Degree+ | 58% | 51% | Sophisticated buyer pool |
| Owner-Occupancy | 82% | 67% | Stable homeowner base |
According to Census Bureau data, Trumbull's $138,000 median household income — 31% above the Fairfield County median — provides the financial foundation for the town's $515,000 home prices. The 3.7x price-to-income ratio falls within the sustainable range for Connecticut suburban communities, indicating the market is supported by fundamental income capacity rather than speculative purchasing, according to demographic-economic analysis.
What is the demographic profile of Trumbull CT? According to Census data, Trumbull's 38% households-with-children rate (5 points above the county average) confirms the town's identity as a family-destination community where school quality drives residential demand. The 58% college attainment rate indicates buyers who respond to data-driven market analysis and detailed neighborhood comparisons rather than emotional marketing approaches, according to demographic analysis.
According to demographic trend data, Trumbull's 50-64 age cohort represents 24% of the population — a pre-downsizing segment that is expanding as the baby boom generation ages in place. These long-tenure homeowners (averaging 18+ years of ownership) represent the highest-probability listing prospects in the market: their children have graduated from Trumbull's schools, their equity has appreciated significantly, and their lifestyle needs are shifting toward maintenance-free living. US Tech Automations lifecycle triggers identify these homeowners and initiate equity-focused nurture campaigns that position agents for listing conversations when the downsizing decision crystallizes.
According to Census Bureau migration data, Trumbull gains approximately 400-500 new residents annually from Bridgeport and Stratford while losing 200-300 to Fairfield and Monroe — a net positive migration pattern that sustains housing demand at the $450,000-$600,000 entry level.
USTA Platform Comparison for Trumbull
| Feature | US Tech Automations | kvCORE | BoomTown | Follow Up Boss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price Segment Automation | Neighborhood-specific | Generic zones | No | No |
| Cross-Town Buyer Tracking | Bridgeport→Trumbull pipeline | Basic | Limited | Basic |
| Commission ROI Dashboard | Per-farm profit tracking | No | No | No |
| School District Marketing | Enrollment-triggered campaigns | Generic | No | No |
| Multi-Neighborhood Farming | 7+ zone management | Single zone | Limited | No |
| Monthly Cost | $149–$399 | $499+ | $750+ | $399+ |
How to Farm Trumbull CT Effectively
Segment your farm by Trumbull's seven distinct neighborhoods rather than treating the town as one market. According to SmartMLS data, the $215,000 price spread between Town Center ($465,000) and Nichols ($680,000) requires neighborhood-specific messaging — US Tech Automations multi-zone farming manages each neighborhood's unique price dynamics simultaneously.
Build a Bridgeport-to-Trumbull buyer pipeline targeting families seeking school district upgrades. According to buyer migration data, 35% of Trumbull buyers come from Bridgeport — the largest single source market, creating a predictable demand pipeline.
Target the $450,000-$550,000 core segment with first-time buyer education content. This segment drives 24% of transactions and represents the price point where Bridgeport and Stratford families first access Trumbull's school system.
Develop Tashua neighborhood expertise for premium market access. According to SmartMLS data, Tashua generates 55 annual sales at $625,000 median — a self-contained farming zone that produces more transactions than many entire Connecticut towns.
Create school comparison guides positioning Trumbull against Stratford, Monroe, and Shelton. Cross-town school comparisons drive 40% of buyer decisions in this price range.
Track new construction and renovation permits as listing opportunity indicators. Homeowners investing in major renovations often sell within 3-5 years of completion — building permit data predicts future listings.
Leverage the Bridgeport tax differential in buyer marketing. Bridgeport's 54.37 mill rate vs. Trumbull's 34.49 means Trumbull buyers pay 37% less in property taxes — a compelling financial argument for school district upgraders.
Develop empty nester downsizing campaigns for the 1970s-1980s housing cohort. Homeowners who purchased in the 1980s are now 25-35 years into ownership — prime downsizing candidates.
Monitor Merritt Parkway and Route 8 commuter patterns for buyer targeting. Trumbull's highway access creates commuter appeal for Bridgeport, Stamford, and New Haven employment centers — commute time messaging resonates with professional buyers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Trumbull CT?
According to SmartMLS data, Trumbull's median home price is approximately $515,000, with 6.8% year-over-year appreciation in 2025 — the strongest growth rate since the 2021-2022 pandemic surge.
How does Trumbull compare to Shelton CT?
According to SmartMLS comparative data, Trumbull's $515,000 median is 20% above Shelton ($430,000), reflecting Trumbull's stronger school rankings and closer proximity to Fairfield County's employment centers.
What are property taxes in Trumbull CT?
According to the Trumbull Tax Assessor, the 34.49 mill rate produces approximately $17,762 in annual taxes on a median-priced home — below Bridgeport (54.37 mills) and Stratford (39.47 mills) despite higher home values.
How many homes sell in Trumbull annually?
According to SmartMLS data, Trumbull averages 380-420 residential transactions per year, with the $400,000-$700,000 range driving 70% of all closings.
What school district serves Trumbull CT?
According to Connecticut State Department of Education records, Trumbull operates its own school district with consistently top-15% statewide rankings — the primary driver of buyer demand from surrounding communities.
Is Trumbull CT affordable for first-time buyers?
According to affordability analysis, Trumbull's $350,000 entry-level condo and starter home segment is accessible to households earning $100,000, while the core $515,000 market requires approximately $140,000 household income with 20% down.
What is the best neighborhood in Trumbull CT?
According to SmartMLS data, neighborhood preference depends on budget and priorities: Tashua ($625,000 median) offers newer construction and family amenities, while Nichols ($680,000) provides proximity to Fairfield and smaller lot sizes.
How competitive is Trumbull for real estate agents?
According to licensing data, 180 agents serve the Trumbull area with 45 (25%) closing 6+ deals annually — moderate competition that rewards persistent farming investment.
How far is Trumbull from New York City?
According to commuter data, Trumbull is approximately 60 miles from Midtown Manhattan, with Metro-North access via neighboring Bridgeport or Stratford stations providing 75-90 minute train commutes.
What is the best farming strategy for Trumbull CT?
According to market analysis, the most effective approach segments farming by Trumbull's seven neighborhoods, targeting the $450,000-$700,000 core market with school-quality messaging and cross-town buyer pipeline automation through US Tech Automations.
Conclusion: Trumbull's Mid-Market Farming Opportunity
Trumbull represents Fairfield County's most compelling mid-market farming opportunity — $515,000 median prices, 400 annual transactions, and diverse neighborhood segments create multiple entry points for agents at every experience level. The town's position as the school-quality upgrade destination for Bridgeport, Stratford, and Shelton families ensures consistent demand that is demographic-driven rather than speculative.
The $13,133 median commission per transaction, combined with achievable 10-20 deal annual targets, positions Trumbull farming as a $130,000-$260,000 annual GCI opportunity. The seven-neighborhood structure rewards agents who develop micro-market expertise rather than generic town-wide messaging.
US Tech Automations provides the multi-neighborhood CRM, cross-town buyer pipeline automation, and commission tracking dashboards that Trumbull's segmented market demands. Start farming Trumbull's mid-market opportunity today.
About the Author
Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.
