Fulshear TX Real Estate Market Data 2026
Key Takeaways:
Fulshear's population has grown from 12,000 (2020) to an estimated 35,000 (2025) — a 192% increase that makes it the fastest-growing city in the Houston metro and one of the fastest in the United States
The $465,000 median home price positions Fulshear as a premium new-construction market where 55% of transactions involve builder inventory, creating a unique farming dynamic where agents compete with builder sales teams rather than other agents
Lamar Consolidated ISD's strong performance and Fulshear's rural-to-suburban transition attract families seeking newer schools, larger lots, and premium community amenities at prices below Sugar Land ($445,000 for smaller lots)
1,100 annual transactions generate $519 million in transaction volume, with Cross Creek Ranch, Fulbrook on Fulshear Creek, and Jordan Ranch driving 65% of closings
US Tech Automations helps agents establish early market position in Fulshear's explosive growth market with new construction tracking, builder comparison tools, and first-mover farming automation
Fulshear Market Fundamentals
Fulshear is a city in Fort Bend County, Texas, located approximately 35 miles west of downtown Houston along FM 1093 and FM 359 in the Houston-Sugar Land metropolitan area. The city's position on Houston's western growth frontier — bordered by Katy to the northeast, Sugar Land to the east, and Simonton to the west — defines the newest major suburban market in Fort Bend County, where former ranch land is converting to master-planned communities at one of the fastest rates in Texas, according to Fort Bend County geographic records.
What is the Fulshear real estate market like in 2026? According to Houston Association of Realtors (HAR) data, Fulshear's 1,100 annual transactions at a $465,000 median price make it a premium growth market fundamentally different from established suburbs. With 55% of transactions involving new construction, the market dynamics are builder-driven — creating both challenges (builder marketing dominance) and opportunities (growing resale inventory as original buyers move) for farming agents, according to market characterization analysis.
| Market Indicator | Fulshear TX | Katy TX | Sugar Land TX | Houston Metro |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (2025 est.) | 35,000 | 400,000+ | 118,000 | 7.3M |
| Median Home Price | $465,000 | $365,000 | $445,000 | $340,000 |
| Annual Transactions | 1,100 | 4,200 | 2,400 | 110,000+ |
| Months of Supply | 4.2 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Median DOM | 42 | 28 | 32 | 35 |
| New Construction % | 55% | 22% | 12% | 18% |
According to HAR data, Fulshear's 4.2-month supply and 42-day median DOM are the highest among Houston's western suburban markets — a direct consequence of the 55% new construction share that continuously adds inventory. This creates a market where buyers have choices and pricing power that does not exist in supply-constrained communities like Friendswood (2.8 months), according to supply dynamics analysis.
Fulshear's 192% population growth in five years makes it the fastest-growing city in the Houston metro — but this growth creates a unique farming paradox: the community is large enough to farm but young enough that most residents haven't yet needed a second real estate transaction, according to Census Bureau growth data.
Growth Trajectory Analysis
| Year | Population | Housing Units | Annual Transactions | New Construction % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 12,000 | 4,200 | 580 | 75% |
| 2021 | 18,000 | 6,500 | 750 | 70% |
| 2022 | 24,000 | 8,800 | 900 | 65% |
| 2023 | 29,000 | 10,500 | 980 | 60% |
| 2024 | 32,000 | 11,800 | 1,050 | 58% |
| 2025 | 35,000 | 13,000 | 1,100 | 55% |
How fast is Fulshear growing? According to Census Bureau estimates and Fort Bend County development data, Fulshear has averaged 23% annual population growth since 2020 — adding 4,600 residents per year. However, the growth rate is decelerating (from 50% in 2021 to 9.4% in 2025) as the initial development surge matures and available land requires more infrastructure investment, according to growth trajectory analysis.
According to Fort Bend County development records, Fulshear has approximately 8,000-10,000 platted but unbuilt lots across active and planned communities — representing 6-8 years of development at current absorption rates. This pipeline ensures continued growth but at moderating pace, transitioning Fulshear from explosive-growth to steady-growth market dynamics, according to development pipeline analysis.
Transaction Volume by Community
| Community | Annual Sales | Median Price | New Construction % | Character |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cross Creek Ranch | 350 | $495,000 | 40% | Premium master-planned |
| Fulbrook on Fulshear Creek | 180 | $525,000 | 35% | Luxury, equestrian |
| Jordan Ranch | 150 | $435,000 | 50% | Family, value-premium |
| Tamarron | 120 | $385,000 | 45% | Entry premium |
| Cross Creek West | 100 | $455,000 | 65% | Newest phase |
| Scattered/Other | 200 | $425,000 | 60% | Various developments |
Which Fulshear community leads in sales? According to HAR community data, Cross Creek Ranch's 350 annual transactions at $495,000 median make it Fulshear's dominant market — generating $173 million in annual volume from a single community. Fulbrook on Fulshear Creek's $525,000 median and equestrian-lot options serve the luxury-rural niche that distinguishes Fulshear from suburban competitors, according to community transaction analysis.
According to community development data, Cross Creek West — the newest phase of the Cross Creek ecosystem — has the highest new construction share (65%) and represents the frontier of Fulshear development. Agents who establish presence in Cross Creek West now will be positioned as community experts when the resale market matures in 3-5 years. US Tech Automations new community tracking helps agents monitor builder activity and identify the optimal moment to begin farming outreach.
Price Analysis
| Price Range | Transaction Share | Annual Sales | Buyer Profile | Builder vs. Resale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under $350,000 | 10% | 110 | Young families, entry | 70% builder |
| $350,000-$450,000 | 28% | 308 | Family, relocators | 55% builder |
| $450,000-$550,000 | 32% | 352 | Established professionals | 50% builder |
| $550,000-$700,000 | 20% | 220 | Executive, move-up | 45% builder |
| $700,000+ | 10% | 110 | Luxury, custom/equestrian | 40% builder |
What price segment dominates Fulshear? According to HAR transaction data, the $450,000-$550,000 range drives 32% of Fulshear closings — 352 annual transactions — making it the primary market segment. This price band represents the Fulshear sweet spot: enough budget for premium community amenities and 4-5 bedroom floor plans, but below the luxury threshold where DOM extends significantly, according to price segment analysis.
According to builder-vs-resale data, the new construction share decreases as price increases — from 70% builder in the sub-$350,000 segment to 40% in the $700,000+ luxury tier. This pattern means luxury and custom segments offer more farming opportunity for agents, as buyers in those ranges increasingly prefer existing homes with mature lots, custom features, and established landscaping over builder inventory, according to buyer preference analysis.
According to price analysis, Fulshear's $465,000 median exceeds both Katy ($365,000) and Sugar Land ($445,000) — but Fulshear's premium buys newer construction, larger lots (typically 70-80 foot frontage vs. 55-65 in Sugar Land), and premium community amenities that justify the price differential for families prioritizing space and lifestyle.
Historical Price Trends
| Year | Median Price | YoY Change | Avg. Lot Size | Builder Incentive Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $420,000 | +18.5% | 8,500 sq ft | Minimal |
| 2022 | $475,000 | +13.1% | 8,200 sq ft | None |
| 2023 | $458,000 | -3.6% | 8,000 sq ft | $15,000-$25,000 |
| 2024 | $460,000 | +0.4% | 7,800 sq ft | $20,000-$35,000 |
| 2025 | $465,000 | +1.1% | 7,600 sq ft | $20,000-$40,000 |
According to HAR historical data, Fulshear experienced the typical pandemic price surge (18.5% in 2021, 13.1% in 2022) followed by correction (-3.6% in 2023) and slow recovery. The relatively flat 2024-2025 pricing reflects builder inventory pressure — with 55% new construction, builders effectively set price ceilings through incentive competition, preventing the organic appreciation seen in supply-constrained markets, according to price trend analysis.
Are Fulshear prices expected to rise? According to market analysis, Fulshear's price growth will remain modest (1-3% annually) as long as new construction represents 50%+ of transactions — builders adding inventory prevents the supply scarcity that drives sharp appreciation. However, as communities build out and the new construction share declines toward 30-35% (projected by 2028-2029), resale-driven appreciation should accelerate, according to forecast modeling.
School District Analysis
| School District | Fulshear Area | Rating | Campus Highlights | Price Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar CISD | Primary | B+ | Growing, new campuses | Baseline |
| Katy ISD (overlap) | Northern fringe | A | Established campuses | +10-15% |
| Fort Bend ISD (overlap) | Eastern fringe | A | Premium reputation | +8-12% |
According to TEA accountability data, Lamar CISD serves the majority of Fulshear and has invested heavily in new campus construction to match population growth — opening three new schools since 2022. While LCISD's overall rating (B+) trails Katy ISD (A) and Fort Bend ISD (A), individual campuses in the Cross Creek Ranch zone have earned A ratings, creating within-district variation that agents should understand, according to school district analysis.
According to enrollment data, Lamar CISD's rapid growth has necessitated temporary portable classrooms at several campuses — a concern for families that agents should address proactively. The district's $750 million bond program (approved 2023) funds new permanent facilities that will eliminate portables by 2027, according to LCISD capital improvement data.
Commission and Agent Economics
| Commission Metric | Fulshear TX | Fort Bend County | Houston Metro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average Commission Rate | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Agent-Side Commission | 2.5% | 2.55% | 2.55% |
| Commission per Transaction | $11,625 | $8,543 | $8,670 |
| Licensed Agents (Area) | 145 | — | — |
| Agents Closing 6+/Year | 30 (21%) | — | 25% |
What can agents earn farming Fulshear TX? According to HAR data, Fulshear's $11,625 median commission is among the highest in the Houston metro — second only to select luxury markets. However, the 55% new construction share means builder sales teams capture the majority of first-purchase commissions, reducing the effective resale transaction pool to approximately 495 annual deals for farming agents, according to production analysis.
| Farming Strategy | Monthly Cost | Est. Deals | Annual GCI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Entry (300 homes) | $600 | 3-5 | $34,875-$58,125 |
| Growth (700 homes) | $1,300 | 8-12 | $93,000-$139,500 |
| Dominant (1,500 homes) | $2,200 | 16-22 | $186,000-$255,750 |
According to agent economics data, Fulshear's resale-only commission pool of approximately $5.75 million (495 transactions × $11,625) is shared among just 145 agents — but with only 30 closing 6+/year, the competitive density is actually among the lowest in Houston's western suburbs, creating first-mover advantage for systematic farming agents.
Builder vs. Agent Competition Analysis
| Builder Dynamic | Fulshear Impact | Agent Counter-Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| Builder marketing budgets ($2M+/community) | Dominates new buyer attention | Local expertise, resale advantages |
| On-site sales centers | Captures walk-in traffic | Buyer representation, negotiation |
| Incentive packages ($20K-$40K) | Attracts price-sensitive buyers | Total cost analysis (lot premium, MUD) |
| Model home experience | Emotional purchase triggers | Existing home staging, virtual tours |
| Builder agent commission (3%) | Matches standard commission | Relationship-based differentiation |
How should agents compete with Fulshear builders? According to competitive analysis, the most effective agent strategy is not competing head-to-head with builders but rather positioning as the buyer's advisor — helping new construction buyers negotiate upgrades, select lots, and understand MUD tax implications that builders downplay. Agents who accompany buyers to model homes as informed advocates earn both the transaction and the long-term relationship, according to builder competition strategy analysis.
USTA Platform Comparison for Fulshear
| Feature | US Tech Automations | kvCORE | BoomTown | Ylopo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Construction Pipeline Tracking | Builder inventory + lot status | No | No | No |
| Builder Incentive Monitoring | Weekly incentive updates | No | No | No |
| Growth Market Targeting | New resident welcome automation | No | Basic | No |
| Resale vs. Builder Positioning | Automated comparison content | No | No | No |
| First-Mover Farming Tools | Community establishment workflows | No | No | No |
| Monthly Cost | $149-$399 | $499+ | $750+ | $395+ |
How to Farm Fulshear TX Effectively
Position as a buyer's advisor for new construction, not a competitor to builders. According to transaction data, 55% of Fulshear deals involve builders — agents who accompany buyers to model homes, negotiate upgrades, and explain MUD taxes earn both the commission and the lifetime relationship. US Tech Automations new construction advisory workflows guide agents through builder negotiation processes.
Target the emerging resale market as your primary farming zone. According to development timeline data, homes purchased in Cross Creek Ranch during 2020-2022 are entering the 3-5 year ownership window where job changes, family growth, and lifestyle shifts create listing opportunities — farm these original purchasers before competitors.
Develop MUD tax expertise as a competitive differentiator. According to Fort Bend County MUD records, Fulshear MUD rates range from $0.50 to $1.25 per $100 — creating $3,000-$7,500 annual tax variation between communities. Buyers rarely understand MUD implications until it's too late; agents who explain them upfront build trust.
Create community comparison content for Cross Creek vs. Fulbrook vs. Jordan Ranch. According to buyer data, Fulshear buyers often compare multiple communities — agents who provide objective, data-driven comparisons establish authority over builder sales teams who only promote their own community.
Monitor Lamar CISD school construction and boundary changes. According to LCISD capital improvement data, new campus openings affect attendance zones — agents who can predict and communicate upcoming changes provide distinctive value to families making school-dependent decisions.
Build relationships with employer relocation departments in the Energy Corridor. According to commute data, Fulshear's I-10/FM 1093 access provides 30-40 minute commutes to the Energy Corridor — oil and gas relocation packages fund premium home purchases that match Fulshear's price point.
Track builder lot inventory as a market health indicator. According to developer data, rising unsold lot counts signal slowing absorption — a leading indicator that predicts pricing adjustments 3-6 months before they appear in closing data.
Develop equestrian and acreage expertise for the Fulbrook niche. According to listing data, Fulshear's equestrian-zoned properties ($600,000+) represent a unique luxury segment unavailable in Katy or Cypress — a specialization that commands premium commissions with minimal competition.
Plan for the resale transition. According to development projections, Fulshear's new construction share will decline from 55% to 30-35% by 2028-2029 as communities build out — agents who establish farming presence now will dominate the resale market that emerges.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Fulshear TX?
According to HAR data, Fulshear's median home price is approximately $465,000, with community-level medians ranging from $385,000 in Tamarron to $525,000 in Fulbrook on Fulshear Creek. The premium reflects newer construction, larger lots, and master-planned community amenities.
How fast is Fulshear growing?
According to Census Bureau estimates, Fulshear has grown 192% since 2020 — from 12,000 to approximately 35,000 residents — making it the fastest-growing city in the Houston metro area. Growth is decelerating but remains the highest rate in Fort Bend County.
How does Fulshear compare to Katy?
According to comparative data, Fulshear's $465,000 median exceeds Katy ($365,000) by 27%, but Fulshear delivers newer construction, larger lots, and premium community amenities. Katy offers more established infrastructure, Katy ISD schools, and 4x the transaction volume.
What school district serves Fulshear TX?
According to district records, Fulshear is primarily served by Lamar Consolidated ISD, with small portions overlapping Katy ISD and Fort Bend ISD boundaries. LCISD has invested $750 million in new campus construction to serve Fulshear's rapid population growth.
Is Fulshear a good real estate investment?
According to market analysis, Fulshear's investment potential is strongest for long-term buyers (5+ year hold), as current builder inventory pressure limits short-term appreciation. As communities build out and new construction share declines, resale appreciation should accelerate toward 3-5% annually.
How many homes sell in Fulshear per year?
According to HAR data, Fulshear averages approximately 1,100 residential transactions annually, with 55% involving new construction. The resale market processes approximately 495 transactions per year — a growing number as early purchasers begin to relocate.
What are property taxes in Fulshear TX?
According to Fort Bend County records, Fulshear's effective tax rate ranges from $2.60 to $3.40 per $100 depending on MUD district, resulting in $12,100-$15,800 annual taxes on a $465,000 home. MUD rates in newer communities are notably higher than established areas.
How far is Fulshear from Houston?
According to commute data, Fulshear is approximately 35 miles west of downtown Houston via I-10 and FM 1093, with typical commute times of 40-55 minutes. The Energy Corridor is approximately 20 miles east, with 30-40 minute commute times.
Demographic Profile and Buyer Demand
| Demographic Indicator | Fulshear TX | Fort Bend County | Houston Metro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Household Income | $135,000 | $95,000 | $72,000 |
| College Degree (Bachelor's+) | 58% | 42% | 34% |
| Homeownership Rate | 88% | 75% | 58% |
| Median Age | 36.5 | 35.5 | 34.8 |
| Families with Children | 42% | 32% | 30% |
According to Census Bureau data, Fulshear's $135,000 median household income — 88% above the Houston metro average — is the highest of any community in this analysis, reflecting the premium market positioning that attracts dual-income professional families. The 88% homeownership rate and 42% families-with-children rate confirm Fulshear's identity as a family-oriented ownership community where school quality and lifestyle amenities drive every purchase decision, according to demographic analysis.
According to buyer profile data, Fulshear attracts a high proportion of move-up buyers from Katy (30% of new buyers), Sugar Land (15%), and inner Houston (25%) — families who have outgrown their current homes and seek the larger lots and newer construction that Fulshear provides. Understanding these origin markets helps farming agents craft messaging that addresses specific relocation motivations.
Conclusion: Fulshear's First-Mover Farming Window
Fulshear's explosive growth, $465,000 median price, and $11,625 per-transaction commission create a premium farming opportunity for agents willing to navigate the builder-dominated landscape. The 55% new construction share means the resale market is still emerging — creating a first-mover window where agents who establish farming presence now will dominate as the market transitions from builder-driven to resale-driven over the next 3-5 years.
The 192% population growth has created a community of 35,000 residents who purchased from builders — not from agents. As these residents enter their natural relocation windows (job changes, family growth, downsizing), they will need listing agents for the first time. The agent who has been farming them consistently will capture these listings.
US Tech Automations provides the new construction tracking, builder comparison tools, and first-mover farming automation that Fulshear's emerging resale market demands. Start farming Fulshear's growth opportunity today.
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Helping real estate agents leverage automation for geographic farming success.
